Sabermetric look at the Regional

[Will James]

wOBA - the best tool to look at the overall hitting production at the plate
FIP - looking at the things that a pitcher can control himself. HR, BB, K.

wOBA
1. MER .374
2. USA .357
3. MSU .348
4. UCA .348

Opponent's wOBA
1. UCA .275
2. MSU .276
3. MER .298
4. USA .311

FIP
1. MSU 3.01
2. UCA 3.53
3. MER 3.74
4. USA 4.05

Conference FIPs
1. SEC 2.96
2. Southland (UCA) 3.43
3. Sun Belt (USA) 3.61
4. Atlantic Sun (MER) 3.61

Warren Nolan SOS
1. MSU 7
2. USA 42
3. MER 152
4. UCA 171

Clearly our pitching gives us an edge in this regional. When adjusting for SOS and looking at the conference FIP's, I feel we would have a much higher wOBA as well. UCA aint that good. To me the team we would like to avoid is Mercer.

[hometowndawg]

Gonna need you to dumb it down for me a little bit.

Basically based on your statistical inference is MSU going to win this regional?
How many games will be needed?
Will Ross Mitchell get a win?
Will Holder get 3 saves?
Will Renfroe break out of his slump for good?
Will J-Cash blare from the speakers when Holder comes in?

[Will James]

Gonna need you to dumb it down for me a little bit.

Basically based on your statistical inference is MSU going to win this regional?
How many games will be needed?
Will Ross Mitchell get a win?
Will Holder get 3 saves?
Will Renfroe break out of his slump for good?
Will J-Cash blare from the speakers when Holder comes in?

We should
4
I hope not
I hope not
I hope so
Doubtful

UCA leads the nation in sac bunts.. so that's good.

[msumudcat]

Will, hate your bunt philosophy but like your posts otherwise. Skip the Big Bang crap. It makes me think you never played baseball.

[Brahmabull]

I'm a little surprised we aren't starting Pollo since UCA likes to bunt. I figured Pollo would be our best fielding pitcher against bunts.

[sack07]

Graveman fields his position extremely well.