ED Says: Percentage Chance Memphis beats Ole Miss

[TheRef]

I figured we might as well due this in true Bye Week fashion. So I ask you one question, what are the odds that Memphis upsets Ole Miss at Vaught Hemingway.
Forecast: ~75 degrees, mostly cloudy, winds from the East at 5-10 mph, 30% chance of rain (totaling less than 0.1").

Rules: No 0%, 50%, or 100%. I'll do this until about 11:00 AM tomorrow and compile the numbers and give the official ED odds of a Memphis upset.

The Ref's odds: 20% of an upset.

[BulldogDX55]

15% Highly unlikely but possible.

While Memphis' offensive strength plays into OM's weakness (Run O vs Run D), I just don't think they have the guns.

Then again, that's what so many said about us.

[msstate7]

If they win turnover battle -- 40%
If they tie or lose turnover battle -- 10%

[TheRef]

If they win turnover battle -- 40%
If they tie or lose turnover battle -- 10%

Haha. give me one, 7, if you can.

[FlabLoser]

If they win turnover battle -- 40%
If they tie or lose turnover battle -- 10%


One answer, please.

[FlabLoser]

35%

[msstate7]

40 + 10 = 50/2 = 25%

[Dawg496]

1%

[cheewgumm]

7%

[ckDOG]

10%

[LC Dawg]

25%

[RougeDawg]

33.3333, repeating of course. OM will still be flying sky high after the loss by their real rival and be looking forward to their top five slugfest the following week.

[Bothrops]

30% It could be a game for 3 quarters. Could be.

[CadaverDawg]

.000001%

http://img.pandawhale.com/58669-so-youre-telling-me-theres-a-c-Sm9B.gif

[Political Hack]

5.2%

[EAVdog]

.5%, it could technically happen but would require some real catastrophes to happen for Ole Miss.

[GreenheadDawg]

-100 %

[Quaoarsking]

15%. We are more likely to beat Alabama this year.

[blacklistedbully]

30%. I think Memphis may be the best team they'll have played to date. BSU is just not very good, IMO. At a minimum, BSU's QB had a horrible game vs TSUN. I also think there's a decent chance TSUN is overlooking this game. If Memphis can run, they have a good chance.

[DawgPoundtheRock]

30%

[gravedigger]

15 percent. Not cause I believe that but dak's number is magic.

[shrimp]

8%

[TUSK]

no.

[sbcmortgageman]

12%

[Drugdog]

64%

[BulldogDX55]

no.

Didn't you mess up on the last % guess thread from like a month ago?

[Crystal Balls]

If they play this game 4 times I say Memphis wins once.

25% chance of the upset.

[thunderclap]

19.83

[Boya]

With most of their fans already predicting the Alabama score... I think this one gets a little hotter than the Rebels would like ...30%

70% It's a 2 score lead at the half and the Black Bears force some TOs in the second half then coast late....

Or

30% An over confident group of Landsharks sleep walk the 1st Half and its 21-10 Memphis heading into the locker room. The 2nd half devolves into a suck fest of turnovers and penalties ...Ole Miss is forced into needing a late drive to win.....

[mparkerfd20]

51%

[scottycameron]

25%

[blacklistedbully]

On second thought, I figure Memphis this year has almost as much chance as Vandy has the past 10 years. Vandy has won 6 of the past 10, so I'm going to bump my % up to 50%.

[dickiedawg]

88.12% chance. Gotta like those odds.

[TUSK]

Didn't you mess up on the last % guess thread from like a month ago?

dammit, you're right... lemme try again...

n 0%

better?

[It_Could_Happen]

It's more likely to rain in the Sahara.

4% chance. They will have to have a lot of breaks go their way.

[Percho]

38%

[Technetium]

5%

[sleepy dawg]

10%