Any interest in revisiting "Elite Dawg Say" (T Dawg's thread with % for each game)?

[LiterallyPolice]

Before the season, about 30 people put % chances of winning each game on our schedule. T Dawg gathered the numbers here:

http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?19323-Gonna-do-a-season-projection-need-your-input

And gave some excellent results here:

http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?19429-Elite-Dawg-Say

Now that we are 3 weeks into the season, and we know much more about ourselves and our competition... any interest in everyone revising their predictions to come up with some new results?

T Dawg... I'd be more than happy to gather the results and do the analysis if you don't have the time.

[starkvegasdawg]

I would change mine slightly. Here is my original and out to the side is how I would change my predictions.

@ LSU - 54% ---no change
Texas A&M - 77%---51%
Auburn - 72%---65%
@ Kentucky - 76%---70%
Arkansas - 75%---no change
UT Martin - 99%---no change
@ Alabama - 14%---20%
Vanderbilt - 82%---90%
@ Ole Miss - 70%---no change

[LiterallyPolice]

Shameless Statistics BUMP.

[CadaverDawg]

LSU - 40%
A&M - 40%
Auburn - 45%
Kentucky - 65%
Arkansas - 65%
UT Martin - 100%
Bama - 30%
Vandy - 98%
Ole Miss - 50%

[Tdawg]

Before the season, about 30 people put % chances of winning each game on our schedule. T Dawg gathered the numbers here:

http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?19323-Gonna-do-a-season-projection-need-your-input

And gave some excellent results here:

http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?19429-Elite-Dawg-Say

Now that we are 3 weeks into the season, and we know much more about ourselves and our competition... any interest in everyone revising their predictions to come up with some new results?

T Dawg... I'd be more than happy to gather the results and do the analysis if you don't have the time.

You got it buddy:)--I'm a little busy this week:

@ LSU 35%--------->45%
Texas A&M 60%--->40%
Auburn 45%------->40%
@ Kentucky 65%-->55%
Arkansas 70%----->75%
UT Martin 99%---->99%
@ Alabama 15%-->25%
Vanderbilt 65%--->99%
@ Ole Miss 51%-->45%

[Bear@Work]

Before the season, about 30 people put % chances of winning each game on our schedule. T Dawg gathered the numbers here:

http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?19323-Gonna-do-a-season-projection-need-your-input

And gave some excellent results here:

http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?19429-Elite-Dawg-Say

Now that we are 3 weeks into the season, and we know much more about ourselves and our competition... any interest in everyone revising their predictions to come up with some new results?

T Dawg... I'd be more than happy to gather the results and do the analysis if you don't have the time.


Based on some formula they came up with that looks at stats for full games and measures opponent's strengths, ESPN has come up with per game predictions.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/team/fpi/_/id/344/mississippi-state-bulldogs

LSU 39.4%
Texas A&M 40.8%
Auburn 35.1%
Kentucky 67.7%
Ark 67.1%
Tenn Martin 99.8%
Bama 26.5%
Vandy 97.8%
Bears 32.0%

[Bear@Work]

It's actually pretty interesting how close the ESPN numbers are to our general consensus.

[Political Hack]

LSU - 45% (up)
A&M - 52% (down)
Auburn - 49% (down)
Kentucky - 62% (down)
Arkansas - 69% (about the same)
UT Martin - 99% (about the same)
Bama - 29% (up)
Vandy - 92% (up)
Ole Miss - 54% (up)

[Tdawg]

It's actually pretty interesting how close the ESPN numbers are to our general consensus.

Wisdom of Crowds---Google it

[sleepy dawg]

new<----- old
30<----- 30 @ LSU
40<----- 45 Texas A&M
40<----- 40 Auburn
70<----- 80 @ Kentucky
75<----- 80 Arkansas
99<----- 98 UT Martin
25<----- 20 @ Alabama
80<----- 69 Vanderbilt
49<----- 52 @ Ole Miss