MSU's Scenarios for the Weekend

[curmudgeon]

SEC Champions and #1 seed in SEC Tournament if:

MSU sweeps Alabama
AND
Tennessee sweeps Florida
AND
Vanderbilt sweeps South Carolina OR Vanderbilt wins 2 of 3 AND Auburn wins one vs. LSU

SEC West Champions and #2 seed in SEC Tournament if:
Scenario 1
MSU sweeps Alabama
AND
Texas A&M wins series vs. Ole Miss

Scenario 2
MSU wins 2/3 vs. Alabama
AND
Texas A&M sweeps Ole Miss
AND
Auburn wins one game vs. LSU

MSU is guaranteed a bye in the SEC Tournament if:
Scenario 1
MSU sweeps Alabama

Scenario 2
MSU wins 2/3 vs. Alabama
AND
Auburn wins one game vs. LSU
OR
Vanderbilt wins 2/3 vs. South Carolina
OR
South Carolina wins 2/3 vs. Vanderbilt AND Arkansas wins one vs. Missouri



Scenario 3
MSU wins one vs. Alabama
AND
Auburn wins 2/3 vs. LSU

[State82]

SEC champion would also require A&M winning the series against UM.

[dickiedawg]

If we sweep, why would LSU's result matter? The best LSU can finish is 17-11, and if we sweep we'd be 19-11.

[LC Dawg]

Just for kicks what is the tiebreaker between us and Fla. and what would it be between us, UM, and Fla?

[blacklistedbully]

You are incorrect on any scenario that has us finishing ahead of OM unless they lose 2 games more than we do from here, not just one. They own the tie-breaker against us is we finish with identical records due to their 2-1 series win over us. Remember, that 2nd win we got versus them in the Gov Cup does not count as an SEC game for SEC standings or tie-breaker purposes.

[blacklistedbully]

If we sweep, why would LSU's result matter? The best LSU can finish is 17-11, and if we sweep we'd be 19-11.

They'd be 17-11-1. That tie counts as half-a-win. LSU's finish in the standings could have an impact on tie-breakers. If 3 or more teams are tied for best record and they aren't all in the same division, it goes to how each team did versus the top seeded team in their own division. If there's still a 3-way or more tie liek that, they go to record against next seed, down, etc, etc, until they get down to 2. when down to 2, they go with head-to=head. If that doesn't do it (due to previous tie game or cancelled game), then they look at record versus common opponents.

[blacklistedbully]

SEC Champions and #1 seed in SEC Tournament if:

MSU sweeps Alabama
AND
Tennessee sweeps Florida
AND
Vanderbilt sweeps South Carolina OR Vanderbilt wins 2 of 3 AND Auburn wins one vs. LSU
We only need a split, any split. If Scar sweeps Vandy, it goes to tie-breakers. We would also need OM to lose at least 2 games.

SEC West Champions and #2 seed in SEC Tournament if:
Scenario 1
MSU sweeps Alabama
AND
Texas A&M wins series vs. Ole Miss

Scenario 2
MSU wins 2/3 vs. Alabama
AND
Texas A&M sweeps Ole Miss
AND
Auburn wins one game vs. LSU


MSU is guaranteed a bye in the SEC Tournament if:
Scenario 1
MSU sweeps Alabama

Scenario 2
MSU wins 2/3 vs. Alabama
AND
Auburn wins one game vs. LSU
OR
Vanderbilt wins 2/3 vs. South Carolina
OR
South Carolina wins 2/3 vs. Vanderbilt AND Arkansas wins one vs. Missouri



Scenario 3
MSU wins one vs. Alabama
AND
Auburn wins 2/3 vs. LSU


Haven't really looked at the rest.