MSU Schedule and % on each game

[BeastMan]

I went through and gave my % chance I think we have of winning each game.

http://3rdand57.wordpress.com/2013/04/30/msu-schedule-game-by-game-confidence-rankings/


Here's a schedule. What y'all got?

vs OSU
vs Alcorn
at Auburn
vs Troy
vs LSU
vs Bowling Green
vs Kentucky
at USC
at A&M
vs Bama
at Arky
vs OM

[Will James]

vs OSU 47%
vs Alcorn 100%
at Auburn 55%
vs Troy 61%
vs LSU 41%
vs Bowling Green 84%
vs Kentucky 75%
at USC 39%
at A&M 51%
vs Bama 15%
at Arky 50%
vs OM 50%

[FISHDAWG]

vs OSU ------------ 65 %
vs Alcorn --------------------------------- 100%
at Auburn-----------75 %
vs Troy------------------------------------ 100%
vs LSU ------------- 40 %
vs Bowling Green--------------------------- 90 %
vs Kentucky---------------------------------100 %
at USC-------------------------------------- 40 %
at A&M -------------------------------------40 %
vs Bama------------------------------------- 10 %
at Arky--------------------------------------80 %
vs OM--------------------------------------- 60 %

[gravedigger]

I went through and gave my % chance I think we have of winning each game.

http://3rdand57.wordpress.com/2013/04/30/msu-schedule-game-by-game-confidence-rankings/


Here's a schedule. What y'all got?

vs OSU 65
vs Alcorn 95
at Auburn 70
vs Troy 85
vs LSU 30
vs Bowling Green 75
vs Kentucky 75
at USC 40
at A&M 20
vs Bama 10
at Arky 55
vs OM 70

Yea it's optimistic. Sue me

[BeastMan]

Nothing wrong with that. I think mine is optimistic

[Hump4Hoops]

vs OSU 40%
vs Alcorn 99%
at Auburn 80%
vs Troy 80%
vs LSU 0%
vs Bowling Green 90%
vs Kentucky 75%
at USC 15%
at A&M 10%
vs Bama 1%
at Arky 70%
vs OM 65%

Adding up my %s, I get about 6.25 wins - sounds reasonable to me.

Probably a little optimistic on the auburn and arkansas matchups, but I just don't see them turning it all around in 1 season. Perhaps a bit optimistic on the LSU game too.

[Dawgdom]

vs OSU 50%
vs Alcorn 99%
at Auburn 55%
vs Troy 90%
vs LSU 85% this is the year boys and girls
vs Bowling Green 90%
vs Kentucky 90%
at USC 40%
at A&M 40%
vs Bama 20%
at Arky 65%
vs OM 65%

[Ghost of Hank Flick]

vs OSU 35%
vs Alcorn 100%
at Auburn 50%
vs Troy 90%
vs LSU 25%
vs Bowling Green 90%
vs Kentucky 80%
at USC 20%
at A&M 30%
vs Bama 2%
at Arky 40%
vs OM 65%

Those seem pretty pessimistic now that I look at them, going 5-6-1 based on the percentages, but I think we get a couple of the ones with lower percentages and end up with 7 wins.

[slickdawg]

vs OSU 51%
vs Alcorn 99%
at Auburn 60%
vs Troy 99%
vs LSU 1%
vs Bowling Green 99%
vs Kentucky 65%
at USC 10%
at A&M 1%
vs Bama 1%
at Arky 51%
vs OM 60%

[DawgInMemphis]

vs OSU - 35%
vs Alcorn - 98%
at Auburn - 60%
vs Troy - 85%
vs LSU - 51% (we've got to beat them at some point...)
vs Bowling Green - 80%
vs Kentucky - 70%
at USC - 30%
at A&M - 25%
vs Bama - 10%
at Arky - 60%
vs OM - 65%

6 wins or less - quite disappointed
7 wins - fairly disappointed
8 wins - acceptable, I think we'll win 8 regular season games this year
9 wins - very happy
10+ wins - mindsplosion

[BeastMan]

I'm going to do OM tomorrow. That should be fun

[601Dawg]

vs OSU 48%
vs Alcorn 100%
at Auburn 67%
vs Troy 99%
vs LSU 33%
vs Bowling Green 95%
vs Kentucky 88%
at USC 40% (Call me crazy I think we have a decent chance)
at A&M 20%
vs Bama 25%
at Arky 75%
vs OM 60%

[Goat Holder]

vs OSU - 40% - MSU never plays well in these type games
vs Alcorn - 100% - all day
at Auburn - 65% - we have the edge, but Malzahn's streaky shit concerns me
vs Troy - 75% - let down game, their Sr. QB returns who tore us up
vs LSU - 40% - I think we have a better than average chance to knock them off
vs Bowling Green - 90% - all day if we don't screw around
vs Kentucky - 80% - OL issues will hurt them
at USC - 30% - probably will be flat up there
at A&M - 10% - Sumlin's stuff is too much for us at their place
vs Bama - 30% - think we'll play inspired ball and have a chance
at Arky - 75% - depleted roster in a place we typically don't play well
vs OM - 60% - We'll beat them at home. They don't have the 'edge' anymore.

On the defense fear vs. Auburn, Troy, aTm and Ole Miss, we may not even have an issue with Collins at the helm. Only time those type teams have really eaten us up was with either Torbush or Wilson calling the shots. We shut Cam down in 2010.

[Political Hack]

vs OSU 40%
vs Alcorn 98%
at Auburn 55%
vs Troy 89%
vs LSU 35%
vs Bowling Green 84%
vs Kentucky 84%
at USC 35%
at A&M 45%
vs Bama 15%
at Arky 55%
vs OM 51%

Now I'm gonna look at everyone else's predictions and tell y'all why you're wrong.

[Political Hack]

those of you thinking A&M is as good as Bama next year have lost it. They just lost their best 2 or 3 OL, DL, WR, most talented RB, and others. Everyone thinks that team ran with Johnny Football, but that team ran with the boys in the trenches. This reminds me of the year everyone had Snead pegged as a top NFL prospect and OM in their top ten while discounting that they lost their best OL and DL to the NFL. A&M probably has more talent than them, but you don't replace studs in the trenches in the SEC without a drop off.

[maroonmania]

vs OSU - 35%
vs Alcorn - 98%
at Auburn - 60%
vs Troy - 85%
vs LSU - 51% (we've got to beat them at some point...)
vs Bowling Green - 80%
vs Kentucky - 70%
at USC - 30%
at A&M - 25%
vs Bama - 10%
at Arky - 60%
vs OM - 65%

6 wins or less - quite disappointed
7 wins - fairly disappointed
8 wins - acceptable, I think we'll win 8 regular season games this year
9 wins - very happy
10+ wins - mindsplosion

NO WAY you should be disappointed if we go 7-5 with the murderous schedule we are going to face this Fall. In fact if we go 8-4 (what you say is acceptable) then I would think Mullen should seriously be in consideration for SEC coach of the year. Right now I'm just crossing my fingers that we can keep our bowl streak alive. Much will depend on how improved Auburn and Arkansas are but given we have to play both on the road they will not have to improve significantly for us to have difficulty with them.

[Goat Holder]

At least one person gets it.

But personally, I didn't pick TAM as my lowest percentage because I think they'll be better than Bama.

[Political Hack]

I blame Stricklinz. OSU being scheduled before we knew who our SEC East opponent was, was stupid. Period. The "but we thought it was gonna be Vandy" argument doesn't suffice. We have a long, long history of kissing the SEC's ass only to see them screw us. I'm not sure how the administration was surprised on this one.

You know how LT ran the Ath Dept? With dollar signs in his eyes. The politicization of our W's and L's should be ancient history, but recent events suggest otherwise.

[BeastMan]

I agree with you on A&M. I think they'll be more beatable than Bama and LSU

[Esmerelda Villalobos]

I went through and gave my % chance I think we have of winning each game.

http://3rdand57.wordpress.com/2013/04/30/msu-schedule-game-by-game-confidence-rankings/


Here's a schedule. What y'all got?

vs OSU - 35%
vs Alcorn - 100%
at Auburn - 50%
vs Troy - 90%
vs LSU - 0%
vs Bowling Green - 100%
vs Kentucky - 60%
at USC - 35%
at A&M - 30%
vs Bama - 1%
at Arky - 50%
vs OM - 60%

nm