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msstate7
10-23-2025, 10:02 AM
FEI (14th nationally), FPI (7th), s&p+ (11th), and Massey (10th) all think they are.

I like us +7.5, but these ratings scare me off.

TrapGame
10-23-2025, 10:12 AM
Under performing? Is it Sark?

They should have blown the doors off Kentucky. Texas scores their first touchdown of the first half late in the second quarter bc Kiblett returns a punt on a short field to the ten yard line.

Oh yeah, if we kick any ball directly to Kiblett the ST coach should be fired after the game. He was more of weapon than Arch last Saturday night.

BrunswickDawg
10-23-2025, 10:55 AM
Well - we have 1 common opponent, so lets start there.
Both of us Played UF in the Swamp 1 week apart.

We both scored 21 points
We allowed 23. Texas allowed 29 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 452 yards of offense. Texas allowed 457 - Advantage MSU
We gained 468 yards of offense. Texas gained 341 - Advantage MSU
Shapen threw for 324, no TDs, 1 INT. Manning 289/2/2 - Lean MSU
We ran for 144 with 1 fumble. Texas ran for 52 w/1 fumble - Advantage MSU
We had 2 sacks. Texas had Zero - Advantage MSU
We had 3 TFLs. Texas had 3 - Push
We had 2 INTS. Texas had 1 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 4 sacks. Texas allowed 6 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 11 TFLs. Texas allowed 7 - Advantage Texas
MSU is at Home (4-1). Texas is 1-2 on the Road - Advantage MSU
Our SOS is 35. Texas 48.

Comparing our common opponent, we take this game.

TrapGame
10-23-2025, 11:16 AM
Ole Miss scored way more points on Kentucky than Texas.

IIRC, Kentucky sacked Arch four times.

msstate7
10-23-2025, 11:26 AM
Ole Miss scored way more points on Kentucky than Texas.

IIRC, Kentucky sacked Arch four times.

I watched them some last week, and they looked horrible. I watched them vs Ohio state and Oklahoma though, and while the offense wasn't good, the defense was unbelievable. They held both teams below 275 yards total. I would feel much better had they rolled Kentucky bc I fear we get a much better effort this week

Cowbeller
10-23-2025, 11:28 AM
Well - we have 1 common opponent, so lets start there.
Both of us Played UF in the Swamp 1 week apart.

We both scored 21 points
We allowed 23. Texas allowed 29 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 452 yards of offense. Texas allowed 457 - Advantage MSU
We gained 468 yards of offense. Texas gained 341 - Advantage MSU
Shapen threw for 324, no TDs, 1 INT. Manning 289/2/2 - Lean MSU
We ran for 144 with 1 fumble. Texas ran for 52 w/1 fumble - Advantage MSU
We had 2 sacks. Texas had Zero - Advantage MSU
We had 3 TFLs. Texas had 3 - Push
We had 2 INTS. Texas had 1 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 4 sacks. Texas allowed 6 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 11 TFLs. Texas allowed 7 - Advantage Texas
MSU is at Home (4-1). Texas is 1-2 on the Road - Advantage MSU
Our SOS is 35. Texas 48.

Comparing our common opponent, we take this game.

Great breakdown. Feels good we get the home field edge in this one

Todd4State
10-23-2025, 11:36 AM
They are statistically the best offense we have played this year and also the worst offense in the SEC that we have played this year. I basically expect it to be low scoring.

dawgpound
10-23-2025, 01:07 PM
Texas can't score points. I think we win a close one

EdwardDrayton
10-23-2025, 01:14 PM
Or ....... is Texas good enough to beat us.

sleepy dawg
10-23-2025, 01:22 PM
Well - we have 1 common opponent, so lets start there.
Both of us Played UF in the Swamp 1 week apart.

We both scored 21 points
We allowed 23. Texas allowed 29 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 452 yards of offense. Texas allowed 457 - Advantage MSU
We gained 468 yards of offense. Texas gained 341 - Advantage MSU
Shapen threw for 324, no TDs, 1 INT. Manning 289/2/2 - Lean MSU
We ran for 144 with 1 fumble. Texas ran for 52 w/1 fumble - Advantage MSU
We had 2 sacks. Texas had Zero - Advantage MSU
We had 3 TFLs. Texas had 3 - Push
We had 2 INTS. Texas had 1 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 4 sacks. Texas allowed 6 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 11 TFLs. Texas allowed 7 - Advantage Texas
MSU is at Home (4-1). Texas is 1-2 on the Road - Advantage MSU
Our SOS is 35. Texas 48.

Comparing our common opponent, we take this game.

That's a lot of advantages. Looks like we should win by at least 30.

parabrave
10-23-2025, 01:27 PM
We should beat them but I still remember what they did to Oklahoma. And yes I know Mateer had a bum hand but they stopped the run and forced Mateer to beat them. They will do the same to us.

EdwardDrayton
10-23-2025, 01:30 PM
Don't bet a lot of money on single opponent comparison conclusions.

parabrave
10-23-2025, 01:37 PM
If we beat Texas the rumors of Lane to Austin will start because they will fire Sark and Arch.

Cowbeller
10-23-2025, 01:46 PM
Don't bet a lot of money on single opponent comparison conclusions.

Dont worry I won’t fall for that. I bet with my heart and that loses me way more money. Cant get me Vegas!

parabrave
10-23-2025, 01:51 PM
Dont worry I won’t fall for that. I bet with my heart and that loses me way more money. Cant get me Vegas!

Actually MSU has covered except for TAM and they almost did.

msstate7
10-23-2025, 01:54 PM
Actually MSU has covered except for TAM and they almost did.

I want 8.5 before I will pull the trigger

confucius say
10-23-2025, 01:57 PM
The analytics love Texas. Have all year. They are a favorite over Vandy next week, too.

Their special teams has been their best offense lately. The punt return TD vs Oklahoma and averaged 44 yards per punt return against KY in a game they only had 179 yards total offense. 179!
No big plays on teams.

EdwardDrayton
10-23-2025, 04:46 PM
Why, yes. Yes we are.

https://i.postimg.cc/bwmRFGZq/IMG-8045.jpg (https://postimages.org/)

Extendedcab
10-23-2025, 04:50 PM
That's a good one Edward!! I agree whole heartedly, or what is left of it!!

TrapGame
10-23-2025, 04:54 PM
If we beat Texas the rumors of Lane to Austin will start because they will fire Sark and Arch.

I could live with that.

bulldawg28
10-23-2025, 06:35 PM
Well - we have 1 common opponent, so lets start there.
Both of us Played UF in the Swamp 1 week apart.

We both scored 21 points
We allowed 23. Texas allowed 29 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 452 yards of offense. Texas allowed 457 - Advantage MSU
We gained 468 yards of offense. Texas gained 341 - Advantage MSU
Shapen threw for 324, no TDs, 1 INT. Manning 289/2/2 - Lean MSU
We ran for 144 with 1 fumble. Texas ran for 52 w/1 fumble - Advantage MSU
We had 2 sacks. Texas had Zero - Advantage MSU
We had 3 TFLs. Texas had 3 - Push
We had 2 INTS. Texas had 1 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 4 sacks. Texas allowed 6 - Advantage MSU
We allowed 11 TFLs. Texas allowed 7 - Advantage Texas
MSU is at Home (4-1). Texas is 1-2 on the Road - Advantage MSU
Our SOS is 35. Texas 48.

Comparing our common opponent, we take this game.

Great breakdown. If Shapen shows up and doesn't try to be the hero we'll win this game.

parabrave
10-23-2025, 06:40 PM
Great breakdown. If Shapen shows up and doesn't try to be the hero we'll win this game.

Thats the problem. They will shut down the running game and the short pass game and make him sit back there and throw bombs in which the DL will hurry him up and will make mistakes. Thats what they dis to Okie.

Todd4State
10-23-2025, 06:43 PM
We should beat them but I still remember what they did to Oklahoma. And yes I know Mateer had a bum hand but they stopped the run and forced Mateer to beat them. They will do the same to us.

That is a rivalry game. Logic doesn't apply to rivalry games.

msstate7
10-23-2025, 06:52 PM
Thats the problem. They will shut down the running game and the short pass game and make him sit back there and throw bombs in which the DL will hurry him up and will make mistakes. Thats what they dis to Okie.

Their defense didn't really show up vs Florida and Kentucky. If we get that defense, we absolutely have a shot. If we get the defense that played Ohio state and Oklahoma, good night

parabrave
10-23-2025, 07:03 PM
Their defense didn't really show up vs Florida and Kentucky. If we get that defense, we absolutely have a shot. If we get the defense that played Ohio state and Oklahoma, good night

And guess which one will show up???

msstate7
10-23-2025, 07:12 PM
And guess which one will show up???

There's no doubt they will look like a playoff team this Saturday

bulldawg28
10-23-2025, 07:22 PM
There's no doubt they will look like a playoff team this Saturday

Nah, the crowd will be a factor for Texas. They're in trouble

LC Dawg
10-23-2025, 08:32 PM
Nah, the crowd will be a factor for Texas. They're in trouble

I'm afraid the crowd will be as orange, albeit a different shade, as the TN game. We need to score early and keep our crowd energized like we did for the TN game. I think Texas is more fragile than TN.

Cowbeller
10-24-2025, 10:04 AM
Actually MSU has covered except for TAM and they almost did.

ML only. I dont want no moral victories.

But you know what they say good teams win, great teams cover.

Tater
10-24-2025, 10:05 AM
Texsa ****ing sucks

Dawgs by 90

Never lost in DWS to them teasips

Hell they ain't ever been in the endzone in Starkville. Let's keep it that way.