Vegas sets win totals for 2025 [Archive]

Coach34

06-21-2025, 09:56 AM

To quote one of my favorite comedians- Place your bets.... place your bets:

State- 3.5 wins (Arizona State 8.5)...(Nasty Bunch 4.5)
Mizzou- 7.5
Auburn- 7.5
UPig- 5.5
OU- 6.5
Kentucky- 4.5
LSU- 8.5
Texas- 9.5
Fla- 6.5
Mississippi- 8.5
Georgia- 9.5
SC- 7.5
A&M- 8.5
Bama- 9.5
Tenn- 8.5
Candy- 5.5

Interesting that since NIL got rolling- Kentucky has also fallen off as they were also a "developmental program"

vv83

06-21-2025, 10:11 AM

I like the over a lot at 3.5

maroonmania

06-21-2025, 10:20 AM

I like the over a lot at 3.5

If we upgraded the roster like we think we have and can't get to 4 wins then we have the wrong coaching staff. That being said, we will likely be an underdog in every game we play this year outside of USM, Alcorn and Northern Illinois.

38843dawg

06-21-2025, 10:22 AM

viverlibre

06-21-2025, 10:29 AM

If we upgraded the roster like we think we have and can't get to 4 wins then we have the wrong coaching staff. That being said, we will likely be an underdog in every game we play this year outside of USM, Alcorn and Northern Illinois.

Concur, we almost have to get to 4, if not Levee needs to go. Our schedule is a killer though. We're going to have to clip Ark on the road or ASU at home.

Who in the hell signs a contract for us to play in H'burg? WTF?

Coach34

06-21-2025, 10:34 AM

To add:

We are a 14 point favorite vs the Nasty Bunch

vv83

06-21-2025, 11:50 AM

TALL DAWG

06-22-2025, 01:11 PM

I’ll take the under at 8.5 for the Land Minnows.

HoopsDawg

06-22-2025, 02:09 PM

If we upgraded the roster like we think we have and can't get to 4 wins then we have the wrong coaching staff. That being said, we will likely be an underdog in every game we play this year outside of USM, Alcorn and Northern Illinois.

Yep. Gotta win 4 in today's era. The new clock rules, which I hate, also should help. Fewer plays.

Coach34

06-22-2025, 02:33 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Chances to make the CFB Playoff, according to ESPN FPI ��️ <a href="https://t.co/Lv2nBToDcx">pic.twitter.com/Lv2nBToDcx</a></p>— College Football Report (@CFBRep) <a href="https://twitter.com/CFBRep/status/1936600133115793513?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 22, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

only SEC team that didnt make the list

Pancho

06-22-2025, 04:21 PM

the first 4 must be wins if lebby is to get 6

maroonmania

06-22-2025, 04:27 PM

the first 4 must be wins if lebby is to get 6

I guess I don't get the optimism about playing Arizona State. They were a CFP team last year and Vegas has them at 8.5 wins this year. I realize its at home but I just don't see us winning that game. We stayed in the game with them last year but that was before they got rolling. And they have a really good HC.

Pancho

06-22-2025, 08:04 PM

gonna be tuff

BravesDoggy

06-22-2025, 08:38 PM

Mississippi won?t come close to 8. Simmons is way overrated. He had one good drive against UGa and their fans act like he?s a Heisman front runner

Coach34

06-22-2025, 08:46 PM

Mississippi won?t come close to 8. Simmons is way overrated. He had one good drive against UGa and their fans act like he?s a Heisman front runner

Bullshit- he will be a Top 5 QB in the SEC. He is good

Goldendawg

06-23-2025, 11:28 AM

Mississippi won?t come close to 8. Simmons is way overrated. He had one good drive against UGa and their fans act like he?s a Heisman front runner

OM fan told me at Girls HS BB summer league games at BMCC that Simmons was better than Dart and they would be better than last year. Wish we had their $ without their delusions. Hail State and 6-6 I hope and competitive in all losses!

R2Dawg

06-23-2025, 11:53 AM

OM fan told me at Girls HS BB summer league games at BMCC that Simmons was better than Dart and they would be better than last year. Wish we had their $ without their delusions. Hail State and 6-6 I hope and competitive in all losses!

Maybe better than Dart in year 1. I'm from Missouri on this; as dilusional as they are, I'll have to see it first.

Here is one back at them. Kamario Taylor is way better than Dak was freshman year. Yall ain't seen nothing yet.

Dawgology

06-23-2025, 01:27 PM

It was nice of them to grant us 3.5 wins. I was thinking two. That program is cooked

Coach34

06-23-2025, 01:38 PM

Maybe better than Dart in year 1. I'm from Missouri on this; as dilusional as they are, I'll have to see it first.

I'll be surprised if he is better than Dart this Fall but he will be pretty good. He's faster but he will have to prove his can make the reads and be accurate consistently. I dont see Mississippi being better than last year but their schedule sets up well for them.

TrapGame

06-23-2025, 07:33 PM

I guess I don't get the optimism about playing Arizona State. They were a CFP team last year and Vegas has them at 8.5 wins this year. I realize its at home but I just don't see us winning that game. We stayed in the game with them last year but that was before they got rolling. And they have a really good HC.

They lost a lot off that team including Scooby Do. If Lebby wants to prove something this is the game. We ain't beating Georgia or Texas. You gotta beat ASU.

Coach34

06-23-2025, 07:59 PM

They lost a lot off that team including Scooby Do. If Lebby wants to prove something this is the game. We ain't beating Georgia or Texas. You gotta beat ASU.

agree- huge game for us and Lebbo

R2Dawg

06-23-2025, 09:46 PM

They lost a lot off that team including Scooby Do. If Lebby wants to prove something this is the game. We ain't beating Georgia or Texas. You gotta beat ASU.

ASU at home is a huge game and opportunity. ASU will be ranked and we beat them we should be 4-0 heading into UT which is also in a weird spot - new QB on the road. ASU is just a huge tone setter for the year.

Dawgface

06-24-2025, 06:49 AM

So Vegas has projected at least a 50% improvement over last year. Life is good.

JimBobDawg

06-24-2025, 01:23 PM

I'll be surprised if he is better than Dart this Fall but he will be pretty good. He's faster but he will have to prove his can make the reads and be accurate consistently. I dont see Mississippi being better than last year but their schedule sets up well for them.
He will have to be a tough one also because Dart could take a lick and get right back up

Brobi-wan

06-24-2025, 01:34 PM

He will have to be a tough one also because Dart could take a lick and get right back up

I do think Dart was an overrated QB by the average racist…I mean rebel, but that dude was tough as nails. Played through a lot of injuries and dings.

Johnson85

06-24-2025, 02:12 PM

Vegas agrees with you as the over is a heavy favorite at -160

Man, I am surprised that it's that heavy. I think 3.5 wins was a pretty easy line for us. I think we're going to win 3 or 4. Hopefully I'm surprised but gun to my head, I'm betting the under.

Leroy Jenkins

06-25-2025, 10:56 AM

Interesting that since NIL got rolling- Kentucky has also fallen off as they were also a "developmental program"

Stoops was packed up and had nine toes out the door to aTm. Since then it?s been rough.

Coach34

08-09-2025, 04:32 PM

Update:

Our line vs The Nasty Bunch has now dropped to -10.5

HoopsDawg

08-09-2025, 07:33 PM

Update:

Our line vs The Nasty Bunch has now dropped to -10.5

Man, sharp money on the Buzzards? Seems we should cover that relatively easy.

EdwardDrayton

08-09-2025, 08:48 PM

Still at 3-9. Hard bet. Zero downside risk. Very minimal upside opportunity. One more win max. Lebby has a lot to prove.

CaptainObvious

08-09-2025, 09:12 PM

Still at 3-9. Hard bet. Zero downside risk. Very minimal upside opportunity. One more win max. Lebby has a lot to prove.

3-9 and the buzzards will be circling Starkville. That would likely be USM, Northern Illinois, and Alcorn State. That would essentially be zero accomplishment in year 2. 4 should absolutely be the minimum for earning year 3, but truthfully, 5 wins would actually reflect improvement. Gotta beat somebody with a pulse.

Coach34

08-09-2025, 09:13 PM

Update:

Our line vs The Nasty Bunch has now dropped to -10.5

In theory- Im right there with you. What we think we know says we should win the game by 17 or more. Buttttttttttttttttt

Advantage Nasty Bunch:

We are on the road
We have alot of new starters
We sucked last year
Their new coach brought 1/4 of the team with him from the previous school
It's their Super Bowl

Advantage us:

We should be more physical
Our RB group is Top 1/3 of the SEC
Its going to super hot and we should have more depth
Experienced QB
2nd season for our HC
Our NIL dwarfs them

I hope it drops more but if it doesnt I will buy it down and take State -9.5. We should wear them down and pull away late. Should be a good $100 to start the season.

HoopsDawg

08-09-2025, 10:42 PM

In theory- Im right there with you. What we think we know says we should win the game by 17 or more. Buttttttttttttttttt

Advantage Nasty Bunch:

We are on the road
We have alot of new starters
We sucked last year
Their new coach brought 1/4 of the team with him from the previous school
It's their Super Bowl

Advantage us:

We should be more physical
Our RB group is Top 1/3 of the SEC
Its going to super hot and we should have more depth
Experienced QB
2nd season for our HC
Our NIL dwarfs them

I hope it drops more but if it doesnt I will buy it down and take State -9.5. We should wear them down and pull away late. Should be a good $100 to start the season.

All true. They were awful last year. Much worse than us. I don?t know much about their portal players. Marshall was decent last year.

R2Dawg

08-10-2025, 07:33 AM

All true. They were awful last year. Much worse than us. I don?t know much about their portal players. Marshall was decent last year.

One thing with USM no one thinks about. Bringing in new coaching and all those players from Marshall will take a little time to come together. All that oneness of Marshall group coming in will not gel with any core USM guys there (if there are any). Even though we heavy portal, not all from same place especially same as new coach. I don't think USM will be all inspired as we think.

TrapGame

08-10-2025, 08:02 AM

One thing with USM no one thinks about. Bringing in new coaching and all those players from Marshall will take a little time to come together. All that oneness of Marshall group coming in will not gel with any core USM guys there (if there are any). Even though we heavy portal, not all from same place especially same as new coach. I don't think USM will be all inspired as we think.

Yeah, if it was a Jeff Bower team loaded with guys passed over by State, OM and Bama I'd be a lot more worried about this game. Right now the Marshall guys don't give a shit about playing us. Hell, the USM alums care way more about this game than Huff does right now.

I also think we get a heavy dose of our new ground game. If we are moving the ball comfortably on the ground Lebby will keep Shapen healthy. There will be some deep shots but Lebby isn't opening the playbook if we can pound the ball.

We win this game by two touchdowns, maybe three.

R2Dawg

08-10-2025, 02:42 PM

Yeah, if it was a Jeff Bower team loaded with guys passed over by State, OM and Bama I'd be a lot more worried about this game. Right now the Marshall guys don't give a shit about playing us. Hell, the USM alums care way more about this game than Huff does right now.

I also think we get a heavy dose of our new ground game. If we are moving the ball comfortably on the ground Lebby will keep Shapen healthy. There will be some deep shots but Lebby isn't opening the playbook if we can pound the ball.

We win this game by two touchdowns, maybe three.

I am excited to see our run game do some damage.

Been a while since we had two really good backs, well we did have Johnson and Marks in the flats passing game for loss of 1 but not counting those years.

CaptainObvious

08-10-2025, 03:25 PM

I am excited to see our run game do some damage.

Been a while since we had two really good backs, well we did have Johnson and Marks in the flats passing game for loss of 1 but not counting those years.

First play from scrimmage in Hattiesburg will either be a run up the middle for no gain or a pass in the flat to a back for a loss of 2. Book it!

1eyedog

08-10-2025, 09:18 PM

If that team ?over theyahh? gets 8,,,,that means they don?t make playoff......If Dogs can?t break 4....then that?s the next best thing...

maroonmania

08-11-2025, 07:05 AM

In theory- Im right there with you. What we think we know says we should win the game by 17 or more. Buttttttttttttttttt

Advantage Nasty Bunch:

We are on the road
We have alot of new starters
We sucked last year
Their new coach brought 1/4 of the team with him from the previous school
It's their Super Bowl

Advantage us:

We should be more physical
Our RB group is Top 1/3 of the SEC
Its going to super hot and we should have more depth
Experienced QB
2nd season for our HC
Our NIL dwarfs them

I hope it drops more but if it doesnt I will buy it down and take State -9.5. We should wear them down and pull away late. Should be a good $100 to start the season.

Not sure us having a lot of new starters is an advantage for USM relatively speaking since they will likely have as many or more new starters on the field as we will.

confucius say

08-13-2025, 06:36 PM

Update. Our line vs USM is back up to 12.5 on ESPN.

1eyedog

08-13-2025, 06:41 PM

Damn......Predicting om makes the playoff.......Please Lord.....

Coach34

08-13-2025, 08:15 PM

Update. Our line vs USM is back up to 12.5 on ESPN.

11.5 on DK

confucius say

08-14-2025, 07:26 AM

11.5 on DK

Now at 12 on espn.

PGHBulldogBG

08-14-2025, 07:37 AM

I am going with 42-31 State wins. USM will be winning at halftime but then we come out strong in the 2nd half and put them away

PCHSDawg

08-14-2025, 09:01 AM

I am going with 42-31 State wins. USM will be winning at halftime but then we come out strong in the 2nd half and put them away

This place will melt down if that happens.

TrapGame

08-14-2025, 09:19 AM

I am going with 42-31 State wins. USM will be winning at halftime but then we come out strong in the 2nd half and put them away

42-21 and USM doesn't have a lead at any point in the game. We recruit higher, have far better portal transfers and a way better QB.