Too Early FPI

[BrunswickDawg]

To take our minds off baseball -

Here is the early FPI:

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi

We check in at 5-7 - at #49.

[Quaoarsking]

That would be a disappointment. I suspect Florida is too high on this list, and we'll prove it by beating them in Week 4.

That would likely get us to 4-0 and set us up to at least get to a bowl game and start a new streak after disgracefully ending one last season.

[Commercecomet24]

I think we can get to 6-6, would be a great start for lebby. Got om projected to go 8-4, lol.

[TrapGame]

We will beat the shit out of Sunbelt Billy and this will be his last season at Florida. We will win at least 6 games with an outside shot at 7.

[Quaoarsking]

We will beat the shit out of Sunbelt Billy and this will be his last season at Florida. We will win at least 6 games with an outside shot at 7.

If we beat the shit out of Florida, is Napier fired the next day?

[parabrave]

Oregon at 2. They now have to play hard teams.

[msudawg1200]

Bout right. Has Bears at #16 and 8-4.

[TrapGame]

If we beat the shit out of Florida, is Napier fired the next day?

I wouldn't doubt it. He has a Formula One car and driving it like a shopping cart.

[StarkVegasSteve]

I think we can get to 6-6, would be a great start for lebby. Got om projected to go 8-4, lol.

They won a bunch of one score games last year. The stats tell you that won't happen again. They were 4-0 in one score games and 5-0 if you count Tulane, which was a one score game until Tulane self destructed under 2 minutes.

Stats tell you they'll revert back to the mean and be 2-3 or 3-2 in those types of games next year. I see them between 7-5 and 10-2. Which means they'll be 9-3 and will be ready for Lane to leave.

[StarkVegasSteve]

If we beat the shit out of Florida, is Napier fired the next day?

I don't think they fire him before October but if the season goes the way I believe it will they fire him between Kentucky and Georgia to try and fire up the troops to keep the UGA game close.

[viverlibre]

To take our minds off baseball -

Here is the early FPI:

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi

We check in at 5-7 - at #49.

Seems like a fair and common sense prediction.

6-6 would be huge.

[Mjoelner34]

5-7 sounds about right. Hoping for a Mullen 5-7 vs. an Arnept 5-7. 6-6 is doable if we can get it done against Sunbelt Billy and UPIG.

[Mjoelner34]

If we beat the shit out of Florida, is Napier fired the next day?

If we win that one, their game on 11/23 may be a job interview for Kiffin. At least that's what I'm I'm preaching to all of the UM folks I know.

[Brobi-wan]

Depending on how this team gels, LSU probably won’t be as good as they have been and could be a surprise win. I don’t expect us to win it, but I like to be optimistic about football. I’ll take 6-6, but I think we upgraded in the QB dept and in the WR dept. I think we’ve got a chance to surprise some folks. May not beat the folks we surprise, but could run them down to the wire.

[Quaoarsking]

Depending on how this team gels, LSU probably won’t be as good as they have been and could be a surprise win. I don’t expect us to win it, but I like to be optimistic about football. I’ll take 6-6, but I think we upgraded in the QB dept and in the WR dept. I think we’ve got a chance to surprise some folks. May not beat the folks we surprise, but could run them down to the wire.

We don't play LSU this year, thankfully (or not)

[gtowndawg]

I think we can get to 6-6, would be a great start for lebby. Got om projected to go 8-4, lol.

OM will go totally insane if that happens!

[gtowndawg]

I think we can get to 6-6, would be a great start for lebby. Got om projected to go 8-4, lol.

OM will go totally insane if that happens!

Sorry for the double post but it probably is worth repeating :cool:

[Brobi-wan]

We don't play LSU this year, thankfully (or not)

Thanks for the correction! Idk why I was thinking they were one of our permanents

[Commercecomet24]

OM will go totally insane if that happens!

lol you got that right! I hear talks of a natty from some of them, ha!

[Quaoarsking]

2,000 : 1 odds on winning the CFP, tied with Maryland, UCLA, and South Florida. Tied for 51st best...

https://twitter.com/Brett_McMurphy/status/1797658868324966675

[MoreCowbell]

That would be a disappointment. I suspect Florida is too high on this list, and we'll prove it by beating them in Week 4.

That would likely get us to 4-0 and set us up to at least get to a bowl game and start a new streak after disgracefully ending one last season.

I would be ecstatic with 5-7 if we are getting better as the season goes on. I do not think some of yall realize how little talent we have on this roster. We will be out talented by all but 3 opponents.

[Quaoarsking]

I would be ecstatic with 5-7 if we are getting better as the season goes on. I do not think some of yall realize how little talent we have on this roster. We will be out talented by all but 3 opponents.

I think we are clearly more talented than Eastern Kentucky, Toledo, and UMass, and given how awful Arizona State was last year and what they lost in the portal on top of that, that makes 4. And I'm not convinced we're out-talented by Arkansas (5).

Beyond those, Florida is a winnable game, Missouri should come back to Earth this year, we've been very competitive with A&M over the last decade, Texas always chokes away a game to a team like us, and you never know in the Egg Bowl, and we have lots of paths to 6-6, 7-5, or maybe even better if some of the transfers (in particular Shapen) click.

[Todd4State]

I think we are clearly more talented than Eastern Kentucky, Toledo, and UMass, and given how awful Arizona State was last year and what they lost in the portal on top of that, that makes 4. And I'm not convinced we're out-talented by Arkansas (5).

Beyond those, Florida is a winnable game, Missouri should come back to Earth this year, we've been very competitive with A&M over the last decade, Texas always chokes away a game to a team like us, and you never know in the Egg Bowl, and we have lots of paths to 6-6, 7-5, or maybe even better if some of the transfers (in particular Shapen) click.

I agree with this. We have a chance to surprise some people. MSU has a completely different team from a personnel standpoint.

[DeltaDawg1994]

I expect it to be like OM first year under lebby where there was a massive upgrade for them in offense and it kept them in a lot of games despite the defense being bad. If it goes like that, we could pull a few upsets and end up 7-5

[TrapGame]

I agree with this. We have a chance to surprise some people. MSU has a completely different team from a personnel standpoint.

I think the offense will be the big surprise for a lot of folks. This will be the best offense we've had since Mullen's heyday. If we can just have a relatively decent defense to get a few stops when we need them we can win 6 or 7 games.

[StarkVegasSteve]

I think the offense will be the big surprise for a lot of folks. This will be the best offense we've had since Mullen's heyday. If we can just have a relatively decent defense to get a few stops when we need them we can win 6 or 7 games.

We're going to have to win some 50-47, 55-49 type games this year. Our defense is going to need to be like OM was in Kiffin's first two years....Terrible but opportunistic. They'd give up 550 yds but they'd have 2 TOs that would be monumental

[Cooterpoot]

That would be a disappointment. I suspect Florida is too high on this list, and we'll prove it by beating them in Week 4.

That would likely get us to 4-0 and set us up to at least get to a bowl game and start a new streak after disgracefully ending one last season.

5 wins is disappointing with the train wreck we had last year and a total lack of recruiting under Leach? Not really but 6+ hopefully is a possibility. That defense though is baaaaaaadddd.

[Commercecomet24]

We're going to have to win some 50-47, 55-49 type games this year. Our defense is going to need to be like OM was in Kiffin's first two years....Terrible but opportunistic. They'd give up 550 yds but they'd have 2 TOs that would be monumental

AT the very least we should be entertaining and if you have a fun offense you will draw players and fans.

[Quaoarsking]

5 wins is disappointing with the train wreck we had last year and a total lack of recruiting under Leach? Not really but 6+ hopefully is a possibility. That defense though is baaaaaaadddd.

I remember everyone insisting our defense would be awful in 2020. Turns out it was fine because Mississippi produces good defensive talent. I suspect it will be fine again this year.

[RockyDog]

I'm good with never having an offense again where if you go down by 10 points you know the game is over. Hell, last year that was when the opponent scored 10 points total.

[EdwardDrayton]

Will make for an enjoyable season given no real substantive expectations. We'll celebrate those we did not think we would win and shrug when we lose.

[Commercecomet24]

Will make for an enjoyable season given no real substantive expectations. We'll celebrate those we did not think we would win and shrug when we lose.

Amen to this, this is the right perspective for this year(as long as we're not boring , lol).

[Commercecomet24]

I'm good with never having an offense again where if you go down by 10 points you know the game is over. Hell, last year that was when the opponent scored 10 points total.

lol yeah if we're gonna lose, lose 52-49, at least it'd be fun to watch.

[KOdawg1]

6-6 with an exciting offense and I'll be happy.

I've watched us win 6 games the boring way my whole life. Hoping to see a good offense for once