Hey SVd

[parabrave]

How do you see Wed panning out?

[starkvegasdawg]

How do you see Wed panning out?

As it looks right now somebody is going to have a bad day south of Jackson.

[parabrave]

As it looks right now somebody is going to have a bad day south of Jackson.

Yep Ole CC might have to stay either in a shelter or his Canoe. What time is your FB bad weather outlook airing??

[Commercecomet24]

Yep Ole CC might have to stay either in a shelter or his Canoe. What time is your FB bad weather outlook airing??

lol, yeah i've been watching this stuff develop and it aint looking to spiffy. The life of a Jones Countian!

[starkvegasdawg]

Yep Ole CC might have to stay either in a shelter or his Canoe. What time is your FB bad weather outlook airing??

As far as a video goes I'm not sure. The guy that makes them is in AR for the eclipse. Worst case we'll have a write up this evening or tonight and then go all in on it tomorrow. Still a couple days out, but this is shaping up to have the potential to be our first decent severe event this spring.

[DownwardDawg]

Interesting. So the homestead on 84 west of Collins might get some weather???

[parabrave]

Interesting. So the homestead on 84 west of Collins might get some weather???

Oh yeah/ The 84 Corridor will be apoppin!

[shoeless joe]

If this is the case I guarantee hwy 37 between taylorsville and Raleigh will have a tornado warned storm cross it at some point.

[Commercecomet24]

If this is the case I guarantee hwy 37 between taylorsville and Raleigh will have a tornado warned storm cross it at some point.

Man you know it! Seems like every time. Here in jones county seems to always be out in west jones county or toward glad an myrick.

[starkvegasdawg]

The models are splitting on two possible scenarios. One is the low slows down and takes a more northward track. This would expand the warm sector and allow for a larger, more significant event. The other is tracks more south and the area of biggest impact is drug south with it impacting less of the state. If the first scenario is the winner it would not surprise me at all to see an upgrade to a moderate risk.

[ArrowDawg]

The models are splitting on two possible scenarios. One is the low slows down and takes a more northward track. This would expand the warm sector and allow for a larger, more significant event. The other is tracks more south and the area of biggest impact is drug south with it impacting less of the state. If the first scenario is the winner it would not surprise me at all to see an upgrade to a moderate risk.

I can see a moderate risk somewhere for sure, especially since I keep seeing PDS hodos in parts of Louisiana and south MS.

[SaintDawg]

3409

[parabrave]

20 area and south at a level 4 tomorrow. Hey CC might be seeing some old ladies on brooms flying around tomorrow. This is the hourly forecast for the CC Arrowdog and Shoeless area.

https://forecast.weather.gov/meteograms/Plotter.php?lat=32.037&lon=-89.309&wfo=JAN&zcode=MSZ057&gset=18&gdiff=3&unit=0&tinfo=CY6&ahour=0&pcmd=110111111111100000000000000000000000000000000 00000000000000&lg=en&indu=1!1!1!&dd=&bw=&hrspan=48&pqpfhr=6&psnwhr=6

[Commercecomet24]

20 area and south at a level 4 tomorrow. Hey CC might be seeing some old ladies on brooms flying around tomorrow. This is the hourly forecast for the CC Arrowdog and Shoeless area.

https://forecast.weather.gov/meteograms/Plotter.php?lat=32.037&lon=-89.309&wfo=JAN&zcode=MSZ057&gset=18&gdiff=3&unit=0&tinfo=CY6&ahour=0&pcmd=110111111111100000000000000000000000000000000 00000000000000&lg=en&indu=1!1!1!&dd=&bw=&hrspan=48&pqpfhr=6&psnwhr=6

Yeah we're battoning down the hatches! I don't worry some much but got a lot big trees on my property and been really lucky so far. Haven't had one come down since Katrina but I have also thinned the heard of some of the problem ones, but you never now.

[Commercecomet24]

Hey SVD, if you or any of your storm chase buddies are down this way and need anything just holler, got lots of family and friends here in jones/jasper county.

[parabrave]

Speaking of flooding rain I hear Lakes Grenada and Sardis are filling up. How much rain has fallen up there the last 24 hrs?

[Pancho]

4-6 inches in some spots with 4-6 more inches coming by end of thursday

[parabrave]

4-6 inches in some spots with 4-6 more inches coming by end of thursday

Dam might get like 6 years ago when the delta and Columbus flooded.

[3dawgnight15]

I tell my wife that 4-6 inches can cause trouble all the time.

[parabrave]

I tell my wife that 4-6 inches can cause trouble all the time.

And she laughed?? Yn how is it in Starkville and will they get the game in?

[starkvegasdawg]

Hey SVD, if you or any of your storm chase buddies are down this way and need anything just holler, got lots of family and friends here in jones/jasper county.

Will do. I'm planning on staying in Brookhaven as it stands now. Probably have 1 or 2 more down here, too.

[parabrave]

Will do. I'm planning on staying in Brookhaven as it stands now. Probably have 1 or 2 more down here, too.

Don't we have a few posters from that area?>>?

[Commercecomet24]

And she laughed?? Yn how is it in Starkville and will they get the game in?

Games been cancelled.

[Commercecomet24]

Will do. I'm planning on staying in Brookhaven as it stands now. Probably have 1 or 2 more down here, too.

Seriously, Just let me know if y'all need anything. I'll pm you my cell number.

[Activated Alpha]

I know the NWS has south MS as moderate, but what are your projections for Hattie?

[starkvegasdawg]

I know the NWS has south MS as moderate, but what are your projections for Hattie?

I think right now the mod risk is warranted, but it's conditional. There's a couple of possible kill switches still in play. The first is the track of the low. That will determine how large the open warm sector will be. The other is will the morning storms kill the instability and hamper destabilization again. This may just end up being a rainy mess with a couple of severe storms. If neither of those happen then a significant event could unfold.

[Commercecomet24]

I think right now the mod risk is warranted, but it's conditional. There's a couple of possible kill switches still in play. The first is the track of the low. That will determine how large the open warm sector will be. The other is will the morning storms kill the instability and hamper destabilization again. This may just end up being a rainy mess with a couple of severe storms. If neither of those happen then a significant event could unfold.

I follow Nick Lilja too and just explained the exact same scenario you did. Makes me trust Nick a little more since you have been extremely accurate over the years. Thanks for all you do, my man!

[starkvegasdawg]

I follow Nick Lilja too and just explained the exact same scenario you did. Makes me trust Nick a little more since you have been extremely accurate over the years. Thanks for all you do, my man!

Appreciate it. I'm ready to get out on the road tomorrow.

[Commercecomet24]

Appreciate it. I'm ready to get out on the road tomorrow.

Be safe out there! Y'all will be in our prayers!

[Churchill]

Don't forget you got buds in Madison also .

[Extendedcab]

Yep, at least 2 buds in Madison!

[starkvegasdawg]

I appreciate all that. Latest info might be trending to a messier storm mode and suppressed further south. Everything will update around 1:00am. If it's looking too messy I may not burn the vacation, but I haven't chased in so long I'm suffering withdrawal. Since we became a nonprofit I've spent more time trying to fundraise than chasing storms. And so far chasing storms is a lot less stressful.

[HailState2008]

The models are splitting on two possible scenarios. One is the low slows down and takes a more northward track. This would expand the warm sector and allow for a larger, more significant event. The other is tracks more south and the area of biggest impact is drug south with it impacting less of the state. If the first scenario is the winner it would not surprise me at all to see an upgrade to a moderate risk.

I'm scheduled to take the train to New Orleans tomorrow leaving around 12 from Jackson. Will I be good?

[starkvegasdawg]

I'm scheduled to take the train to New Orleans tomorrow leaving around 12 from Jackson. Will I be good?

Based on current information you could be in the middle of it. I hate to the phrase worst possible timing but...

[parabrave]

Hey SVD the YouTube Channel is up/

[Commercecomet24]

Hey SVD just PM you.

[BuckyIsAB****]

If this is the case I guarantee hwy 37 between taylorsville and Raleigh will have a tornado warned storm cross it at some point.

Dude I live on it chill

[Commercecomet24]

Dude I live on it chill

Keep you head down over that way and stay safe

[starkvegasdawg]

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
752 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Warren County in west central Mississippi... South central Yazoo County in central Mississippi... Northern Hinds County in central Mississippi... Southwestern Madison County in central Mississippi...

* Until 845 PM CDT.

* At 751 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Redwood, or 8 miles northeast of Vicksburg, moving east at 45 mph.

[starkvegasdawg]

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
824 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for... West central Rankin County in central Mississippi... Central Hinds County in central Mississippi...

* Until 930 PM CDT.

* At 824 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Learned, or 8 miles west of Raymond, moving east at 35 mph.

[DownwardDawg]

Hey SVD, if you or any of your storm chase buddies are down this way and need anything just holler, got lots of family and friends here in jones/jasper county.

When I talk the wife into building again on 84 in Covington county , imma have a badass basement we can all hang out in!! Gonna be a storm chaser base camp!!!

[starkvegasdawg]

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
824 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for... West central Rankin County in central Mississippi... Central Hinds County in central Mississippi...

* Until 930 PM CDT.

* At 824 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Learned, or 8 miles west of Raymond, moving east at 35 mph.

This is now a radar confirmed tornado.

[Commercecomet24]

When I talk the wife into building again on 84 in Covington county , imma have a badass basement we can all hang out in!! Gonna be a storm chaser base camp!!!

Sounds like a winner!

[DownwardDawg]

I'm sitting in a hotel in Houma LA right now. Scheduled to fly in a chopper offshore tomorrow morning at 6:30. Am I dead???
Lol
I've been told it doesn't look good.

[Commercecomet24]

I'm sitting in a hotel in Houma LA right now. Scheduled to fly in a chopper offshore tomorrow morning at 6:30. Am I dead???
Lol
I've been told it doesn't look good.

Geez man they better rethink that. It looks pretty rough tomorrow morning. Be safe!

[Churchill]

Heavy wind and lightning and my deck is covered with hail in Madison.

[Churchill]

Delete...double post

[DownwardDawg]

Geez man they better rethink that. It looks pretty rough tomorrow morning. Be safe!

Unfortunately, there's an entire crew out there counting on me to make it out. So we always try our best. We'll see what happens!!!

[ArrowDawg]

So, counting tonight's two warnings, that's three tornado warnings for parts of Clinton in the last couple or so weeks. So much fun.***

[Commercecomet24]

Unfortunately, there's an entire crew out there counting on me to make it out. So we always try our best. We'll see what happens!!!

Be safe, brother! I'll be praying for you!

[starkvegasdawg]

It will be interesting to see what these storms tonight do to the severe threat tomorrow. Lot of guys on our team think they'll drop the moderate risk at 1:00, and I wouldn't be surprised if that did happen. I do expect the northern extent of the risk areas to be moved south. A lot of the NWS offices have already done that on their own.

[Extendedcab]

You missed some good hail, marbel size in Madison.

[Churchill]

We went on the porch when it was coming down. My wife got a video. It was intense for a couple of minutes.

[DownwardDawg]

Be safe, brother! I'll be praying for you!

Y'all too my friend. Always think of y'all when I pass through or when I watch these storms.

[parabrave]

Unfortunately, there's an entire crew out there counting on me to make it out. So we always try our best. We'll see what happens!!!

Tell them to enjoy the time and half for the next day/ You ain't heading out till after 3.

[parabrave]

It will be interesting to see what these storms tonight do to the severe threat tomorrow. Lot of guys on our team think they'll drop the moderate risk at 1:00, and I wouldn't be surprised if that did happen. I do expect the northern extent of the risk areas to be moved south. A lot of the NWS offices have already done that on their own.

Heck according to the last report and WX cast you might want to head to Hattiesburg Purvis and Laurel area. Mainly for straight line winds.

[DownwardDawg]

Tell them to enjoy the time and half for the next day/ You ain't heading out till after 3.

Yeah. I may just sleep in. If we don't fly before 2:00, they cancel the flights. We have 7 flights scheduled. Lol.
Hoping to get 1. That's my flight.

[ArrowDawg]

It will be interesting to see what these storms tonight do to the severe threat tomorrow. Lot of guys on our team think they'll drop the moderate risk at 1:00, and I wouldn't be surprised if that did happen. I do expect the northern extent of the risk areas to be moved south. A lot of the NWS offices have already done that on their own.

The latest HRRR is certainly pointing to that.

[DownwardDawg]

Sitting down here at the heliport. Staring at each other, drinking coffee, and questioning my life choices. Lol

[JNC23]

It will be interesting to see what these storms tonight do to the severe threat tomorrow. Lot of guys on our team think they'll drop the moderate risk at 1:00, and I wouldn't be surprised if that did happen. I do expect the northern extent of the risk areas to be moved south. A lot of the NWS offices have already done that on their own.

SVD - trying to drive to Starkville from madison this morning. Do you think between about 8:30-11:30am is a relatively safe window to do that?

[WinningIsRelentless]

SVD - trying to drive to Starkville from madison this morning. Do you think between about 8:30-11:30am is a relatively safe window to do that?

Man the tornado watch is till 1 so I would say it?s risky.

[starkvegasdawg]

SVD - trying to drive to Starkville from madison this morning. Do you think between about 8:30-11:30am is a relatively safe window to do that?

That is probably going to be your best shot. Timing has storms in Starkville around noon. First round of storms about to move in now and then there may be an open window barring new development.

[parabrave]

Sitting down here at the heliport. Staring at each other, drinking coffee, and questioning my life choices. Lol

While its flooding in the big easy and tornadoes everywhere right north of ya.

[Activated Alpha]

Think the threat for Hattiesburg has diminished some? Radar looks like it's a jumbled mess and not necessarily a big line

[JNC23]

That is probably going to be your best shot. Timing has storms in Starkville around noon. First round of storms about to move in now and then there may be an open window barring new development.

Made it safely. Thanks for all you do to keep us informed!

[parabrave]

Things apopping here on the coast. 2 TWs one of which is heading E on I10/

[parabrave]

Think the threat for Hattiesburg has diminished some? Radar looks like it's a jumbled mess and not necessarily a big line

Hatties burg area looking at straightline winds near 60 MPH. This line is about 20 mile west extending from Wiggins to Prentiss areas.

[Activated Alpha]

Hatties burg area looking at straightline winds near 60 MPH. This line is about 20 mile west extending from Wiggins to Prentiss areas.

Yeah we just had a small line come through. I was curious about tornado threat

[PMDawg]

Slidell, LA with two tornados (or two touchdowns by the same one maybe), Stennis Space Center with one as well. Several other warnings in the Picayune, Diamondhead, & Biloxi/Gulfport areas. Looks like it was a rough morning down that way.

[Commercecomet24]

We've had a lot of rain and lightning and some wind gusts maybe to 30mph but thats about it. We're soggy but no issues here in Jones County.

[Activated Alpha]

We've had a lot of rain and lightning and some wind gusts maybe to 30mph but thats about it. We're soggy but no issues here in Jones County.

Same in Lamar. Wasn't bad at all

[Commercecomet24]

Same in Lamar. Wasn't bad at all

Glad to hear! Always pray for all my buddies on here when the weather looks like its gonna get sporty.

[starkvegasdawg]

Severe threat appears to be over for the state but more storms and rain are expected tonight further saturating the grounds. This, in conjunction with winds gusting up to 40mph tonight and tomorrow will add to the threat of trees falling.