PDA

View Full Version : Thank God we beat Tenn



msstate7
03-16-2024, 10:37 PM
It's chaos out there. We're now in last 4 byes according to lunardi behind aTm, which I don't understand

Quaoarsking
03-16-2024, 10:48 PM
I was just thinking that. If we'd lost to Tennessee, we'd be at best in Dayton and a decent chance we'd be out. We'd definitely be out if we'd lost to LSU.

It's actually still possible they send us to Dayton. A lot of the brackets on BM now have us as one of the last 4 in, with Oregon and NC State stealing bids today, and FAU losing and giving the American a 2nd bid.

The Dayton games are probably going to be for 10-seeds.

KOdawg1
03-16-2024, 11:05 PM
Saw a lot of people down playing the Tennessee game before we played it, basically saying that we were a lock and it didn't matter.

Those people were wrong. We would've likely gotten left out without that win.

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 12:50 AM
https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/bracketology/ncaa-bracketology-2024-march-madness-men-field-predictions

Both of the Dayton games are 10-seeds, with the "Last 4 Byes" now are 2 9s (us and A&M) and 2 10s. This is because all of the mid-major teams getting decent seeds this year are coming from either the MWC or WCC, so there are more lower tier 1-bid champions clogging up the lower rankings than usual. Those tend to take up the 13-16 seeds, with decent mid-majors in the 12s, and the last at-larges in the 11s, but this year, the 11s are still autobids (including Oregon and NC State), and pushing the last 4 at larges up to 10s.

parabrave
03-17-2024, 01:51 AM
Latest has us a 9 seed playing Boise St in the Uconn bracket

R2Dawg
03-17-2024, 06:59 AM
The play in game being a 10 seed is ridiculous and just wrong. Should be the 16 seed every year IMO.

PGHBulldogBG
03-17-2024, 07:31 AM
Wow I just saw all the upsets from last night. We are so lucky we beat Tenn or there is a good chance we would be left out. I can’t believe UConn was the only #1 seed in the Power 6 to win their conference. This leads me to believe a lot of the higher seeded teams and auto locks took things easy during the conference tournaments. Honestly, I’m not a fan of conference tournaments and I wish they would do away with them. The real champion should be the one who went through 3 months of conference games and that team should get the auto bid and then the field be based off that. It kind of reminds me of the bowl season for football with all the opt outs. Expand the CFB play off to 16 teams and keep the bowl games for smaller teams that won’t have enough players on the team good enough to opt out where it will impact the outcome enough.

chef dixon
03-17-2024, 07:41 AM
Better believe the committee is going to think long and hard about putting us in Dayton. Hopefully they will decide not to just because we were there last year

basedog
03-17-2024, 07:57 AM
We are in, it's a no brainer, no sense in worrying and for goodness sakes quit the "oh crap we are an 8 or 9 seed". One game at a time from here on out, we can beat any team in the country on a giving night. I agree with the panel of ex Sec players talking about the Sec has the best top 8 teams in the country and will make some noise in the Ncaa. We've beaten the best and of course we have lost to some of the best but have had a chance to win.
Moving forward, teams that shoot the best usually win in tourney play. Let's hope we get hot again.

smootness
03-17-2024, 08:06 AM
The play in game being a 10 seed is ridiculous and just wrong. Should be the 16 seed every year IMO.

I actually think the opposite. I think the play-ins should involve the last 8 at-large teams playing their way into the Tourney. If you get an auto bid, you should be in. It definitely makes no sense to have 4 16s and 4 at-large, though.

parabrave
03-17-2024, 08:13 AM
Wow I just saw all the upsets from last night. We are so lucky we beat Tenn or there is a good chance we would be left out. I can’t believe UConn was the only #1 seed in the Power 6 to win their conference. This leads me to believe a lot of the higher seeded teams and auto locks took things easy during the conference tournaments. Honestly, I’m not a fan of conference tournaments and I wish they would do away with them. The real champion should be the one who went through 3 months of conference games and that team should get the auto bid and then the field be based off that. It kind of reminds me of the bowl season for football with all the opt outs. Expand the CFB play off to 16 teams and keep the bowl games for smaller teams that won’t have enough players on the team good enough to opt out where it will impact the outcome enough.

Houston basically played their 2nd string last night and lost to Iowa State.

R2Dawg
03-17-2024, 08:45 AM
I actually think the opposite. I think the play-ins should involve the last 8 at-large teams playing their way into the Tourney. If you get an auto bid, you should be in. It definitely makes no sense to have 4 16s and 4 at-large, though.

Even the play in teams are "in" the tourney. I just don't think it is fair to penalize a much better team having to play an extra game like a 10 seed. That means there are 24 teams not as good that get a bye just because they play in a weak conference. Not fair at all but I guess that is the equity game being applied like all conferences are the same - Not.

R2Dawg
03-17-2024, 08:47 AM
We are in, it's a no brainer, no sense in worrying and for goodness sakes quit the "oh crap we are an 8 or 9 seed". One game at a time from here on out, we can beat any team in the country on a giving night. I agree with the panel of ex Sec players talking about the Sec has the best top 8 teams in the country and will make some noise in the Ncaa. We've beaten the best and of course we have lost to some of the best but have had a chance to win.
Moving forward, teams that shoot the best usually win in tourney play. Let's hope we get hot again.

We are in and there is no sweating it. We are a tourney team and all got to see it in SECT again.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 08:50 AM
We are in and there is no sweating it. We are a tourney team and all got to see it in SECT again.

I'm sweating the play-in games. I don't wanna do that again

chef dixon
03-17-2024, 08:56 AM
The Oregon win probably didn't affect our position. Colorado is projected behind us in most brackets now, so that didn't put 2 teams safely in ahead of us. The NC state win might be the one that put us in the Dayton discussion. Most think we are safe from that but the committee always has 1 or 2 bubble decisions that are not was are projecting

msudawg1200
03-17-2024, 09:31 AM
The Oregon win probably didn't affect our position. Colorado is projected behind us in most brackets now, so that didn't put 2 teams safely in ahead of us. The NC state win might be the one that put us in the Dayton discussion. Most think we are safe from that but the committee always has 1 or 2 bubble decisions that are not was are projecting

Yep, us last year. Most had us avoiding the play in last year, but we see what happened. I DON'T trust that committee at all.

Leeshouldveflanked
03-17-2024, 10:29 AM
Yep, us last year. Most had us avoiding the play in last year, but we see what happened. I DON'T trust that committee at all.

Is LT on the committee?

NCMSTFAN
03-17-2024, 11:48 AM
I don't want to be in a play in situation again and doubt we are... other than that I don't care who we play or where we play. I think Jans will turn up our defensive intensity and make it hard for anyone we play. I understand we can lose to anyone but I wholeheartedly feel like we can beat anyone in this tournament.

One thing that is special about the NCAA tournament is players get discovered. This is a prime opportunity for a player like Josh Hubbard to show the world who he is and I'm excited to see what may happen.

StarkVegasSteve
03-17-2024, 11:57 AM
As long as we avoid the play in I like our chances of getting to the second weekend. 3 games in 3 days will be something we do not have to do the rest of the way so our legs should not be an issue.

smootness
03-17-2024, 12:01 PM
Even the play in teams are "in" the tourney. I just don't think it is fair to penalize a much better team having to play an extra game like a 10 seed. That means there are 24 teams not as good that get a bye just because they play in a weak conference. Not fair at all but I guess that is the equity game being applied like all conferences are the same - Not.

I think the extra teams and the play-in is stupid, I would much prefer they stayed at 64. But if you are going to have them, it makes sense to give 4 extra teams a chance to play their way in, not teams who have already clinched a spot. And regardless, no one truly thinks of the play-in teams as in the tournament yet. Yes, you get to say you are and you are technically in the bracket, but no one cares about those games. The whole point of the tournament is that you do not assume anything, including the strength of the conference, you let the teams play it out. Every conference should have a representative in the 64-team field. It makes no sense to have some 16s and some at-larges playing. There is currently no logic to it, they just wanted more teams and did a bad job of figuring out how to include them.

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 12:13 PM
I think the extra teams and the play-in is stupid, I would much prefer they stayed at 64. But if you are going to have them, it makes sense to give 4 extra teams a chance to play their way in, not teams who have already clinched a spot. And regardless, no one truly thinks of the play-in teams as in the tournament yet. Yes, you get to say you are and you are technically in the bracket, but no one cares about those games. The whole point of the tournament is that you do not assume anything, including the strength of the conference, you let the teams play it out. Every conference should have a representative in the 64-team field. It makes no sense to have some 16s and some at-larges playing. There is currently no logic to it, they just wanted more teams and did a bad job of figuring out how to include them.

This is false. Most people count the losers in Dayton has still having made the tournament. Remember that the tournament started doing a single game in Dayton in 2001 and the First Four in 2011, so it's not like it's some new thing that people are still getting used to.

Nobody (outside of some of our own fans) finds it questionable that we list 2023 as a year we made the NCAA Tournament.

parabrave
03-17-2024, 12:37 PM
As of 1 hour ago we are still a 9 seed playing Boise State in Brooklyn. Beardo I expect to see you there,

msstate7
03-17-2024, 12:55 PM
As of 1 hour ago we are still a 9 seed playing Boise State in Brooklyn. Beardo I expect to see you there,

Beardo lives in NY?

parabrave
03-17-2024, 01:09 PM
Beardo lives in NY?

Around Boston I think.

parabrave
03-17-2024, 01:11 PM
And Larry with a leadoff double down the 3rd baseline/

parabrave
03-17-2024, 01:15 PM
Husack with the big hit down the 3rd baseline 2 runs in.

parabrave
03-17-2024, 01:17 PM
Downs with the double another burner down the 3rd baseline. 3-0

BeardoMSU
03-17-2024, 03:07 PM
Around Boston I think.

Central Massachusetts, but close!

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 03:17 PM
BM labels this the "final update" but it seems like there could still be more updates: http://bracketmatrix.com/

We are in in 88/92 brackets and projected the 2nd-to-last bye. The only real suspense in the brackets is whether St. John's can knock out Texas A&M or Oklahoma for the last spot.

Joebob
03-17-2024, 03:45 PM
It's chaos out there. We're now in last 4 byes according to lunardi behind aTm, which I don't understand

This is what I was worried about yesterday when I brought this subject up. Everybody thought we were in after beating LSU, but now I'm not so sure. But regardless, we're in now, playing fairly well, and have a shot at winning a game or two, depending on matchups. If we could just find a way to consistently make free throws, I'd be really excited.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2024, 04:14 PM
This is false. Most people count the losers in Dayton has still having made the tournament. Remember that the tournament started doing a single game in Dayton in 2001 and the First Four in 2011, so it's not like it's some new thing that people are still getting used to.

Nobody (outside of some of our own fans) finds it questionable that we list 2023 as a year we made the NCAA Tournament.

Exactly they literally call it the field of 68. If you're in the field of 68 you're in the ncaa tournament

parabrave
03-17-2024, 04:14 PM
Now a 10 seed in Dallas bracket vs Utah State. Winner vs Marquette/WKent. If we win we should have a great shot to the elite 8/ Meanwhile TAM is a 9 in same bracket ys Boise St then faces Houston. The 10 seed is a better seed

msudawg1200
03-17-2024, 04:16 PM
Now a 10 seed in Dallas bracket vs Utah State. Winner vs Marquette/WKent. If we win we should have a great shot to the elite 8
I like this setup as a 10 seed better than a 9

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 04:20 PM
Note that while many of the brackets on BM have us in Dayton, all of the top 5 most historically accurate brackets have us getting into the round of 64 directly.

BeardoMSU
03-17-2024, 04:21 PM
Note that while many of the brackets on BM have us in Dayton, all of the top 5 most historically accurate brackets have us getting into the round of 64 directly.

Nice

parabrave
03-17-2024, 04:36 PM
What time they announcing the brackets. Going to eat Mex and they only have soccer on

msudawg1200
03-17-2024, 04:38 PM
What time they announcing the brackets. Going to eat Mex and they only have soccer on

Starts at 5 on CBS

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 04:44 PM
What time they announcing the brackets. Going to eat Mex and they only have soccer on

It will be on Twitter and other social media as soon (or possibly a little bit before) it's on the show.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2024, 04:53 PM
It will be on Twitter and other social media as soon (or possibly a little bit before) it's on the show.

Q in your opinion where you think we wind up. I think we wind up a 9 seed but I'm not a basketball aficionado like some if y'all.

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 04:54 PM
Q in your opinion where you think we wind up. I think we wind up a 9 seed but I'm not a basketball aficionado like some if y'all.

I predict we are a 10, but don't have to go to Dayton. I wouldn't be shocked if we get a 9 instead, or if we have to go to Dayton, but I think the non-Dayton 10 is the most likely.

I'm hoping we get matched up with Utah State or Nevada as the 7, because I think we probably win.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:04 PM
Auburn a 4? Ouch, don't like that

Commercecomet24
03-17-2024, 05:06 PM
I predict we are a 10, but don't have to go to Dayton. I wouldn't be shocked if we get a 9 instead, or if we have to go to Dayton, but I think the non-Dayton 10 is the most likely.

I'm hoping we get matched up with Utah State or Nevada as the 7, because I think we probably win.

Thanks for the info! The way they do all this stuff with basketball now is too much for my old mind . Thanks for the updates!

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:07 PM
Not in east

chef dixon
03-17-2024, 05:08 PM
Don't love the FAU seed

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:08 PM
So far no concerns.

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:08 PM
Auburn a 4? Ouch, don't like that

FAU as an 8 is concerning too.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:09 PM
3 teams (UConn, Auburn, and Illinois) I thought could make a final 4 run are in same bracket.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:11 PM
Northwestern a 9 and Washington State a 7. Our resume much better than Northwestern and beat them on neutral court. Be surprised if we are worse than a 9

civildawg
03-17-2024, 05:11 PM
I thought we were safely out of the play in game but I'm not sure now

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:12 PM
Why is FAU an 8 concerning? CBS experts saying they were surprised they were that high. Would think that bodes well for us since our resume better

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:13 PM
I don't love Texas A&M as a 9. We may be headed to Dayton.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:14 PM
Think we are in good shape. Have better resume than every 9 so far

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:14 PM
A&M as a 9. Don't see how they can seed us below them but you can never tell.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:15 PM
Kentucky a 3 and Auburn a 4. I'd be pissed if I were auburn

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:15 PM
I don't love Texas A&M as a 9. We may be headed to Dayton.

Why? We have better resume than every 9 seed so far

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:15 PM
Why is FAU an 8 concerning? CBS experts saying they were surprised they were that high. Would think that bodes well for us since our resume better

Unless the committee sees it differently than the "experts".

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:16 PM
Wow, Boise State was projected as an 8 but gets Dayton.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:16 PM
Unless the committee sees it differently than the "experts".

We have much better resume

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:17 PM
Kentucky is going to elite 8

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:18 PM
OK, still no concerns really. No projected OUT team has been in the bracket. Boise State headed to Dayton might give us a ticket straight into the 64.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:18 PM
Kentucky is going to elite 8
Yeah they got a great draw

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:18 PM
SEC Tournament doesn't seem to matter that much so far. Maybe it helped A&M but definitely not Auburn.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:19 PM
I bet we are an 8

BeardoMSU
03-17-2024, 05:19 PM
SEC Tournament doesn't seem to matter that much so far. Maybe it helped A&M but definitely not Auburn.

We were a 13 after winning it, so ye...

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:19 PM
Basically there are 2 more 9s and 3 more 10s, with 2 of those 10s going to Dayton.

Those 5 teams are probably us, TCU, Michigan State, Colorado State, and Oklahoma. St. John's could bump one of those out. Also possible that one of us gets an 8.

StarkVegasSteve
03-17-2024, 05:19 PM
I was really hoping to see us in the Dallas regional. Interesting to see what draw we get now. We avoided the two worst 1 seeds in my opinion.

civildawg
03-17-2024, 05:19 PM
Kentucky getting a 3 seed and auburn getting a 4 is so head scratching to me

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:20 PM
SEC Tournament doesn't seem to matter that much so far. Maybe it helped A&M but definitely not Auburn.

Auburn got screwed. They're #5 in net and #4 kenpom

StarkVegasSteve
03-17-2024, 05:25 PM
Starting to believe the play in may be our fate.

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:26 PM
Not gonna be in Dayton.

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:26 PM
Ugh, Virginia gets in. Somebody is getting screwed.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:26 PM
West it is. Arizona our 1?

civildawg
03-17-2024, 05:26 PM
Are we about to get left out? I'm nervous

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:26 PM
Nice, no Dayton

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:28 PM
West it is. Arizona our 1?

Houston. Or did I miss them getting called?

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:28 PM
Are we about to get left out? I'm nervous

Probably not. Oklahoma will probably be left out. But I guess we'll see.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:29 PM
Houston. Or did I miss them getting called?

South, but probably North Carolina

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:29 PM
Houston. Or did I miss them getting called?

Houston is South #1

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:29 PM
Forgot how nerve racking this is

HoopsDawg
03-17-2024, 05:29 PM
So vs UNC in 2nd round??

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:30 PM
So vs UNC in 2nd round??

Maybe we get 10-seed and face Arizona

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:30 PM
Would love for AZ to be our 1. They are a finesse team

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:30 PM
I think it's likely Dayton/Michigan State in the 8/9 game, and we'll be in the 10 in the last bracket. But damn, I'm getting nervous.

HoopsDawg
03-17-2024, 05:30 PM
Maybe we get 10-seed and face Arizona

Same bracket as Bama too.

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:31 PM
I think it's likely Dayton/Michigan State in the 8/9 game, and we'll be in the 10 in the last bracket. But damn, I'm getting nervous.

Yeah, we just had to be in the last bracket announced.

BeardoMSU
03-17-2024, 05:32 PM
MSU vs MSU

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:32 PM
That's a good matchup for us, I think.

Quaoarsking
03-17-2024, 05:32 PM
YES!

HoopsDawg
03-17-2024, 05:33 PM
UNC in Charlotte.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:33 PM
Told yall

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:33 PM
I'll take it!

NCMSTFAN
03-17-2024, 05:33 PM
Nice! Let's go fellas!!!

BeardoMSU
03-17-2024, 05:33 PM
Do we like this matchup?

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:33 PM
Lets do it boys.

civildawg
03-17-2024, 05:34 PM
I do not like playing Michigan state in the tournament

StarkVegasSteve
03-17-2024, 05:34 PM
I will take it. Tolu can bully Bacot if he will decide to. And Jeffries or Matthews will shut down Davis.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:35 PM
Gonna be a physical game. Michigan State has a great defense.

msstate7
03-17-2024, 05:35 PM
I do not like playing Michigan state in the tournament

We're basically playing ourselves. I would much rather face them than someone that can shoot the lights out

PMDawg
03-17-2024, 05:36 PM
Holy cow. Hardest draw ever. Tom Izzo, then UNC, then our cryptonite team in Alabama should we make the sweet 16.

MoreCowbell
03-17-2024, 05:37 PM
We are very similar teams.

Us- 50 offense/20 defense Kenpom
Mich. State- 57 offense/8 defense Kenpom

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 05:40 PM
Play like we did in the SEC tourney and we have a helluva shot.

HoopsDawg
03-17-2024, 05:40 PM
We are very similar teams.

Us- 50 offense/20 defense Kenpom
Mich. State- 57 offense/8 defense Kenpom

Going to be a slugfest.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2024, 05:40 PM
We just play like we did this week and we'll be fine.

NCMSTFAN
03-17-2024, 05:48 PM
We just play like we did this week and we'll be fine.

Exactly!!

dawgday166
03-17-2024, 05:53 PM
I dunno myself. Whisky, Illinini, and Purdue didn't impress me. Hadn't watched but a little bit this weekend tho.

Not crazy playing Izzo tho in 1st round game. He's a really good tourney coach. Then UNC in Charlotte will be pretty tough.

Gotta come out the gates like we did last 2 games.

BeardoMSU
03-17-2024, 05:57 PM
I dunno myself. Whisky, Illinini, and Purdue didn't impress me. Hadn't watched but a little bit this weekend tho.

Not crazy playing Izzo tho in 1st round game. He's a really good tourney coach. Then UNC in Charlotte will be pretty tough.

Gotta come out the gates like we did last 2 games.

Just make our layups!**

msudawg1200
03-17-2024, 05:59 PM
Some guy on the College Sports channel on Sirius/XM thinks we can beat UNC and get to the Sweet 16. Hope he's right. Of course, gotta prove we're the real MSU first.

dawgday166
03-17-2024, 06:00 PM
Just make our layups!**

That would be a good thing. We miss against not so good Ds. A little concerned if Izzo's D is #8. He can coach.

LC Dawg
03-17-2024, 06:08 PM
Some interesting comments about Grand Canyon advancing to the Sweet 16 over Bama and although I think we can play with Purdue we definitely drew the weakest 1 seed. Keep in mind that if TN beat us they could have been the 1 instead of UNC.

parabrave
03-17-2024, 07:13 PM
We are 2-0 against big 10 this year. And that was without Toulu and the updated version of Hub.

PGHBulldogBG
03-17-2024, 07:14 PM
I don’t like Bama being that 4 seed. They are just an awful match up for us. We really need to hope they lose if we can win our first 2

Joebob
03-17-2024, 08:09 PM
Now I've got to go find a correct bracket because at 6:00 PM ESPN showed us playing Utah State (I didn't get to watch the selection show). WTF?