Joey Brackets- 2/20

[Coach34]

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/bracketology/ncaa-bracketology-2024-march-madness-men-field-predictions

SEC with 9 teams

State a 10 seed
Mississippi last team in
A&M fading

[Coach34]

Warren Nolan:

Net 38
RPI 30
SOS 29

[SPDawgs]

We win two SEC games last week one being on the road and we move down to a 10 seed. I get they were two bottom of the barrel SEC teams but it is still two conference wins. All being said I would probably rather be a 10 than a 8/9 either way would help us in round of 32.

[confucius say]

I'd rather be a 10 than 8/9

[msudawg1200]

We win two SEC games last week one being on the road and we move down to a 10 seed. I get they were two bottom of the barrel SEC teams but it is still two conference wins. All being said I would probably rather be a 10 than a 8/9 either way would help us in round of 32.
These are the updates after Arkansas. We were off midweek. We actually moved up to 9 after beating Mizzou. Beat Ole Miss tomorrow night, and we are in pretty good shape barring a major collapse.

[Duke Silver]

Win these next 2, sell our souls if we have to to beat UK at home. Play loose at Aub and just see what happens, tighten things back up for the last 2. We probably need at least 3 wins down the stretch and UK at home or A&M on the road are 2 good Quad 1 win options as things currently sit.

[parabrave]

3 almost must win game OM/ TAM and LSU. These keep us safe in the Tourney. An Aubbie or KY win is Lagniappe.

[smootness]

We win two SEC games last week one being on the road and we move down to a 10 seed. I get they were two bottom of the barrel SEC teams but it is still two conference wins. All being said I would probably rather be a 10 than a 8/9 either way would help us in round of 32.

Other teams play too. They are not moving teams up or down independently.

[Captain Falcon]

We?re in a little bit of an interesting spot in that we are not really on the bubble but also not terribly far from it, and one bad week could change our situation.

If you offered me 2-1 against Ole Miss, LSU, and Kentucky, I would take it without much hesitation.

[PGHBulldogBG]

Basically we need to win 3 of Ole Miss, @LSU, @aTm and SC. UK and Auburn would be crazy, but those 2 are long shots. Do that and we are pretty solidly in the field.

[MetEdDawg]

We needed to max out the point differential against Arkansas and didn't. We won that game and our NET dropped 2 points.

Arkansas is 25 spots away from turning into a Quad 4 win.

Go 3-3 no matter the wins and we will be in. Anything less than that and it gets dicey. But I like our wins a lot against other bubble teams.

[msstate7]

BPI win % for remaining schedule...
OM 78.1%
LSU 52.9%
Kentucky 57.4%
Auburn 13.5%
aTm 30.7%
SC 76.3%

[smootness]

We needed to max out the point differential against Arkansas and didn't. We won that game and our NET dropped 2 points.

Arkansas is 25 spots away from turning into a Quad 4 win.

Go 3-3 no matter the wins and we will be in. Anything less than that and it gets dicey. But I like our wins a lot against other bubble teams.

NET does not factor in scoring margin.

[msstate7]

NET does not factor in scoring margin.

It does factor in efficiency though, so big wins help

[Quaoarsking]

NET does not factor in scoring margin.

Not explicitly, but offensive and defensive efficiency are a part of the formula, so winning by a bigger margin is better than winning narrowly.

[Leeshouldveflanked]

BPI win % for remaining schedule...
OM 78.1%
LSU 52.9%
Kentucky 57.4%
Auburn 13.5%
aTm 30.7%
SC 76.3%
I cant see us beating UK. They will have their refs coming in on the team bus with them.

[msstate7]

Our win Saturday is probably underrated. Ark taking care of business at aTm

[msstate7]

We dropped 3 spots last night to 41. aTm down 5 spots to 50. OM down 2 spots to 67

[Pancho]

must win tonight

[Coach34]

We are -6.5/142.5 tonight

[Captain Falcon]

must win tonight

Not necessarily but it is probably our most winnable game in the last six, so you make your path forward tougher if you do not take care of business here.

[BigDawg81]

NET does not factor in scoring margin. I am not so sure. State moved up some with a blowout win vs Missouri. State dropped after a close win vs Arkansas

[smootness]

Not explicitly, but offensive and defensive efficiency are a part of the formula, so winning by a bigger margin is better than winning narrowly.

Scoring margin is not why we dropped in NET though. It is because we are not the only team playing, every other team plays too.

[smootness]

I am not so sure. State moved up some with a blowout win vs Missouri. State dropped after a close win vs Arkansas

Again, this is because every other team is not static. It is not as though State is the only team moving up or down. Viewing a change in NET after any one single game is a bad way of evaluating the change. Obviously losing a game to a meh opponent will drop you and beating a good one will bump you up, but in general wins against meh teams do not change your rating much. The changes up and down have more to do with what all the other teams are doing.

[Saltydog]

Yeah, we aren't going to beat UK. It's just not happening.

[msstate7]

Yeah, we aren't going to beat UK. It's just not happening.

Probably not, but no one really thought we'd beat Tenn and Auburn here either

[msstate7]

Up 5 spots to #36.

LSU up 3 spots to #82
OM down 1 spot to #68

Big games for us tonight...
Rutgers at Purdue
Michigan at NW
Washington at ASU
Washington st at Arizona

[R2Dawg]

If we ever put a complete game together we can beat anyone. We beat OM, at time a tourney team, by double digits while missing like 15 FT in 2nd half. We are good enough everywhere to make up for horrible FT shooting and some nights TO machine yet still win. Pretty amazing.

If we can get hot and play clean watch out.

[Jarius]

Yeah, we aren't going to beat UK. It's just not happening.

We can. Hell LSU just beat them.

[parabrave]

We can. Hell LSU just beat them.

If we get bench play like we did in the 2nd half we can.