February should be our month in basketball.

[msstate7]

At bama
Georgia
At mizzou
Ark
OM
At lsu
Kentucky

After Saturday, we can hopefully stack some wins

[dawgday166]

So 4-3 in Feb?

[StarkVegasSteve]

Need 6-1 or 5-2 at worst. We will probably be 3-4. Until we prove we can win a road game I will fade us on the road.

[BuckyIsAB****]

People will be ready for baseball after Saturday

[msstate7]

So 4-3 in Feb?

I say 5-2, which puts us at 8-7 going into March. I think that's pretty good, but I'm sure most here disagree bc we made a final 4 28 years ago.

[civildawg]

3 maybe 4 wins. Not going to be enough unless we make a run in the SEC tournament.

[msstate7]

3 maybe 4 wins. Not going to be enough unless we make a run in the SEC tournament.

Ok expert... those chumps that do this for a living disagree

[StarkVegasSteve]

Ok expert... those chumps that do this for a living disagree

They disagree right now. We go 4-3 or worse in this stretch and they will be singing a different tune.

[dawgday166]

NM

[msstate7]

They disagree right now. We go 4-3 or worse in this stretch and they will be singing a different tune.

Maybe. What are the 4 wins vs the 3 losses? I don't think it will happen, but our fans are always cutting in line to call a fail for state

[msstate7]

That's not why I would disagree. Like I've said, hadn't watched much but when I do, it's not usually what I consider really good hoops. Didn't watch AU and TN tho.

I'm looking at standings too. We play Bama, Mizzou, and LSU at their place. Just cause of that I was betting we lose all 3 cause we can't play on the road. But now I'm looking at it and Mizzou 2nd in the East. Bama leads West and LSU is 3rd.

At home: KY not great but we tend to choke against them. GA leads the East. OM is 2nd in West.

That doesn't look like an easy schedule to me. Odds are very much against your prediction IMO.

But then ... We do have a top 3 big man in the country. Not sure who he is but we have him ****

I don't look at histories when assessing sports. I do look at intangibles I think I have a feel for tho.

BPI...
Loss at bama
State 77.8% fav vs Georgia
State 64% fav at mizzou
State 87.6% fav vs ark
State 76.1% fav vs OM
State 55.3% fav at lsu
State 58% fav vs Kentucky

BPI isn't biased against us like our fans. Obviously this doesn't mean we will win all these games, but BPI is pretty good. It called tonight's game basically 50/50

[dawgday166]

NM

[LC Dawg]

I'm looking at standings too. We play Bama, Mizzou, and LSU at their place. Just cause of that I was betting we lose all 3 cause we can't play on the road. But now I'm looking at it and Mizzou 2nd in the East. Bama leads West and LSU is 3rd.

At home: KY not great but we tend to choke against them. GA leads the East. OM is 2nd in West.


This is very confusing.

[msstate7]

Delete

[StarkVegasSteve]

BPI...
Loss at bama
State 77.8% fav vs Georgia
State 64% fav at mizzou
State 87.6% fav vs ark
State 76.1% fav vs OM
State 55.3% fav at lsu
State 58% fav vs Kentucky

BPI isn't biased against us like our fans. Obviously this doesn't mean we will win all these games, but BPI is pretty good. It called tonight's game basically 50/50

We will lose one of Mizzou and LSU and it is not out of the realm of possibility that we lose both. Until we show that we can win a road game it is a safe bet that we will lose them.

[dawgday166]

NM

[dawgday166]

For real, there's no divisions, and even if there were, Georgia wouldn't lead the east and OM wouldn't be 2nd in the west.

LOL ... scratch that. Looking at football LMAO. So scratch everything I've said.

ETA: Still wouldn't trust your take. You got a big bias. You might be right tho ... we'll see.

[LC Dawg]

I say 5-2, which puts us at 8-7 going into March. I think that's pretty good, but I'm sure most here disagree bc we made a final 4 28 years ago.

I think we win 9 SEC games. Most likely 5-2 in February and 1-2 in March but possibly 4-3 in February and 2-1 in March.
5-2 in Feb and 2-1 in March is about the best we can expect.

[dawgday166]

I think we win 9 SEC games. Most likely 5-2 in February and 1-2 in March but possibly 4-3 in February and 2-1 in March.
5-2 in Feb and 2-1 in March is about the best we can expect.

Now I'm confused LOL. Just kidding ... I was confused to start with. I said 4-3 initially just because we had 3 road games.

[msstate7]

Just a reminder, we were 1-7 to start the sec last year before going on a run

[dawgday166]

Just a reminder, we were 1-7 to start the sec last year before going on a run

So now you're taking into account "history" ****

[MoreCowbell]

At bama
Georgia
At mizzou
Ark
OM
At lsu
Kentucky

After Saturday, we can hopefully stack some wins

Will be disappointed with anything less than 5-2

[msudawg1200]

BPI...
Loss at bama
State 77.8% fav vs Georgia
State 64% fav at mizzou
State 87.6% fav vs ark
State 76.1% fav vs OM
State 55.3% fav at lsu
State 58% fav vs Kentucky

BPI isn't biased against us like our fans. Obviously this doesn't mean we will win all these games, but BPI is pretty good. It called tonight's game basically 50/50

Yeah, and BPI also had us winning last night. Until we win a road game I have zero faith we can get on a roll

[msstate7]

Yeah, and BPI also had us winning last night. Until we win a road game I have zero faith we can get on a roll

50.2% favorite. The game was basically just how BPI called it.

[Leeshouldveflanked]

We will lose one or two we shouldnt lose.

[RezDog7]

We're just not very good. I've seen jr. high girls teams handle the ball better. And don't get me started on FREE THROWS. Just awful.

[msstate7]

We're just not very good. I've seen jr. high girls teams handle the ball better. And don't get me started on FREE THROWS. Just awful.

Net #37
BPI #34
Kenpom #33
RPI #35

I'm sure your eye test is more accurate though.

[CaptainObvious]

People will be ready for baseball after Saturday

I'm ready now.

[msudawg1200]

50.2% favorite. The game was basically just how BPI called it.

No, if thats the case we win

[msstate7]

No, if thats the case we win

I'm about to blow your mind...
50.2 rounds to 50
49.8 rounds to 50

Sorry if the math was confusing

[CaptainObvious]

I'm about to blow your mind...
50.2 rounds to 50
49.8 rounds to 50

Sorry if the math was confusing

Are you saying there was a chance?

[CaptainObvious]

I always chuckle when people use percentage to say a politician won by 8 points in a two person race. If the mean is 50 and the winner got 54, they didn't win by 8, they won by 4% plus 1 vote. But math is math so everybody clap -Footloose!

[msudawg1200]

I'm about to blow your mind...
50.2 rounds to 50
49.8 rounds to 50

Sorry if the math was confusing

50.2>49.8. Obviously math is hard. We lost by 4.

[msstate7]

50.2>49.8. Obviously math is hard. We lost by 4.

And I know you're thrilled, but beside the point... espn BPI had that game 50-50, a coin toss

[msudawg1200]

And I know you're thrilled, but beside the point... espn BPI had that game 50-50, a coin toss

And I guess Ole Miss won the coin toss then? Someone has to win or lose. BPI had us favored by 0.4. We lost. The whole point of my post is don't trust ESPN's BPI to judge how we should or shouldn't finish. As I stated earlier, until we win a conference road game I'm not counting anything as a sure thing.

[PGHBulldogBG]

I am taking this season game by game. The way this season has played out has been strange in the SEC overall. UK losing at home to UF after winning @UF was strange. The SEC very well could get 9 teams in the tournament assuming State, UF, and aTm can get to around .500 in the league. UT, Bama, Auburn, UK, Ole Miss and USCe are pretty solid barring a complete collapse

[msstate7]

And I guess Ole Miss won the coin toss then? Someone has to win or lose. BPI had us favored by 0.4. We lost. The whole point of my post is don't trust ESPN's BPI to judge how we should or shouldn't finish. As I stated earlier, until we win a conference road game I'm not counting anything as a sure thing.

Man, using a metric that calls a game 50/50 to disapprove it when the game is decided in the last possession makes you one tough critic .

[msstate7]

I am taking this season game by game. The way this season has played out has been strange in the SEC overall. UK losing at home to UF after winning @UF was strange. The SEC very well could get 9 teams in the tournament assuming State, UF, and aTm can get to around .500 in the league. UT, Bama, Auburn, UK, Ole Miss and USCe are pretty solid barring a complete collapse

Bracketmatrix has us in 84/86 brackets. I'd say we're pretty solid too

[PGHBulldogBG]

Bracketmatrix has us in 84/86 brackets. I'd say we're pretty solid too

Yea they are generally pretty decent, but last year I believe they had Rutgers about that same percentage and Rutgers didn’t make it. We just have such a tough schedule because we have to play most of the top teams twice. Vandy, Mizzou, LSU, UGA and Ark are the 5 bottom teams and we only play all of them once. Hopefully the committee looks at this if we end up 8-10 while another team is 10-8 or so that played most of those teams twice. It’s just so hard to tell what the committee would do. It would be nice to upset Bama Saturday because that would pretty much lock us in

[Dawgology]

I don?t trust this team in any game. They are a rollercoaster mentally. They could win every game left on the schedule or lose them all. Neither would surprise me.

[PMDawg]

At bama = Loss
Georgia = Win
At mizzou = Loss
Ark = Win
OM = Win
At lsu = ?
Kentucky = ?

Kentucky at home is winnable, though it's likely a loss. So we're talking about anywhere from 5-2 to 3-4.

[StarkVegasSteve]

At bama = Loss
Georgia = Win
At mizzou = Loss
Ark = Win
OM = Win
At lsu = ?
Kentucky = ?

Kentucky at home is winnable, though it's likely a loss. So we're talking about anywhere from 5-2 to 3-4.

If we cannot beat this Mizzou team then we do not deserve to go the tournament. They are absolutely putrid. Our season SHOULD come down to the two game stretch of @LSU and UK at home. 2-0 and we are in no matter what. 1-1 and I will have to see what happened the previous 5 games. 0-2 and we will not have to worry about hearing our name called on Selection Sunday.

[Goldendawg]

This team is somewhat like last year's football team (minus the clown show coaching). Many of the basketball players came back for their 5th or 6th year in both sports a year older but not a year better. Talent wise in both sports a couple may make NFL as non drafted free agents, but there are no basketball players even close to the NBA developmental league. Except for the addition of Hubbard, this is still last year's starters and team. They are what they are. Next year will also see if we can evaluate and build fast through the portal. South Carolina and other teams show it can be done.

[PMDawg]

If we cannot beat this Mizzou team then we do not deserve to go the tournament. They are absolutely putrid. Our season SHOULD come down to the two game stretch of @LSU and UK at home. 2-0 and we are in no matter what. 1-1 and I will have to see what happened the previous 5 games. 0-2 and we will not have to worry about hearing our name called on Selection Sunday.

Missouri has a bad record, but they keep a lot of games close. They're not as bad as their record, imo. The ESPN metric gives them a 36% chance to beat us. I saw it was an away game, and slapped an "L" on there. I was tempted to do the same for LSU. Call them both toss-ups. But, yeah, you're right. We really better win that one. 4-1 in the next 5 would be huge.

[RockyDog]

A whole 3 page thread that shows 7 doesn’t have a clue what he’s talking about.

[msstate7]

A whole 3 page thread that shows 7 doesn’t have a clue what he’s talking about.

And how's that?

[Goldendawg]

"Hold serve at home and steal a couple on the road". Well known secret of success in SEC MBB after winning nearly all of OOC games. This will get you in the NCAA Tourney. Hail State!

[Lord McBuckethead]

Could be. I would rather it be March.

[Leeshouldveflanked]

Meh it looks like 4-3?

[msstate7]

^^^^ don't even care what happens Tuesday. What a damn month

[dawgday166]

^^^^ don't even care what happens Tuesday. What a damn month

Not bad dude.

[Commercecomet24]

Meh it looks like 4-3?

Oops

[Commercecomet24]

^^^^ don't even care what happens Tuesday. What a damn month

Yep! But might as well win Tuesday too!

[parabrave]

People will be ready for baseball after Saturday

Nostradamus you ain't.

[msstate7]

Yep! But might as well win Tuesday too!

^^^^

[R2Dawg]

People will be ready for baseball after Saturday

That aged well; you just never know about how things will turn out.

[MoreCowbell]

As of today we are in 100% of brackets on bracketmatrix.com