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The models are splitting on two possible scenarios. One is the low slows down and takes a more northward track. This would expand the warm sector and allow for a larger, more significant event. The other is tracks more south and the area of biggest impact is drug south with it impacting less of the state. If the first scenario is the winner it would not surprise me at all to see an upgrade to a moderate risk.
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Senior Member
Originally Posted by
starkvegasdawg
The models are splitting on two possible scenarios. One is the low slows down and takes a more northward track. This would expand the warm sector and allow for a larger, more significant event. The other is tracks more south and the area of biggest impact is drug south with it impacting less of the state. If the first scenario is the winner it would not surprise me at all to see an upgrade to a moderate risk.
I can see a moderate risk somewhere for sure, especially since I keep seeing PDS hodos in parts of Louisiana and south MS.
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