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Senior Member
Here are some numbers, fellow geeks
Tonight's win moved us up 11 spots in the RPI to 60th. Damn that Vanderbilt loss.
A couple of big opportunities at home over the next week:
The South Carolina gems is worth at least 3 spots
The Tennessee game is worth at least 8 spots
We win both of those, we are 21-8 in games that matter, have a top 50 RPI, and are likely top five in the SEC standings.
I point out those three things, because in my opinion, if we get two of three of the following, we are dancing.
Top 50 RPI
23 Division I wins
Top five finish in SEC
In fact, if we have a Top 49 RPI (basically Top 50), we would be the highest RPI team from a Power Conference left out and if we have a top five finish and the SEC gets 8 teams in over us, it would be the first time EVER in ANY conference that a team was skipped over for three teams that finished behind them. And 23 Division I wins (SC had one Non-D1 win in '16) is the MOST ever left out from a major conference team.
Basically, if you hit all three of those thresholds, you are making history if you are left out.
The game at LSU at the end of the season is worth at least 5 spots as well. Going 4-0 could result in a top 4 seed in the SEC tournament, 22 wins, and an RPI that would stay in the top 50 even if we were 1 and done in St. Louis.
We're going to end the night in the No. 6 or No. 7 seed position. Florida and Alabama have games they could very well lose tomorrow night to slide us up to No. 5 or 6. But this weekend is where it gets exciting. If we can beat South Carolina at home, and Auburn beats Florida and Arkansas beats Alabama, we will go into the final week No. 4.
Last edited by curmudgeon; 02-20-2018 at 09:59 PM.
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Yikes, only 60. We better keep winning.
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Senior Member
Vanderbilt cost us 10 spots. Missouri and Vanderbilt cost us 18 spots.
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3-0 to finish and we are NCAA bound
Walk like the King or walk like you don't care who the King is
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Senior Member
Originally Posted by
Coach34
3-0 to finish and we are NCAA bound
I think so, as well. I would honestly sweat a little if we went 3-0 and lost that first game in STL, but as long as it wasn't to one of the double digit seeds, I thin we'd be alright.
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Originally Posted by
Coach34
3-0 to finish and we are NCAA bound
Would be hard to leave us out at 11/7. But only shot.
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Win 3 and get 1 in the SEC tournament and its impossible to leave out a 24-9 team
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Originally Posted by
StarkVegasSteve
Win 3 and get 1 in the SEC tournament and its impossible to leave out a 24-9 team
True we're in but keep in mind we have a win vs D2 school that doesn't count towards resume
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Also need some luck with the conference tournaments.
We need MTSU who is prob a tourney team to win the CUSA tourney . We don’t need Stands or Marshall or ODU getting the auto bid.
And Nevada also a tourney team to win the mountain west . Boise would be the only other team that could get an at large .
We don’t need a ****ing UNLV or Fresno st getting the automatic bid
I don’t see any other conference or power 5 have a team steal a auto bid.
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Buffalo, Louisiana Lafayette, Loyola, New Mexico State, and Vermont all have RPIs that give them a chance at an at large bid. We need them to win their tournaments just in case.
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How much did the Ole Miss win last night hurt us?
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Here is a pretty good site to play around with RPI. It says if we win out we'll have a 46 RPI going into the SECT. That should get us in.
http://www.rpiforecast.com/wizard/Mi...ppi%20St..html
http://www.rpiforecast.com/cgi-bin/rpiwizard.cgi
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Originally Posted by
louisvilledawg
How much did the Ole Miss win last night hurt us?
Probably helped us as Ole Miss is currently our worst loss on our resume
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Originally Posted by
Dawg61
Probably helped us as Ole Miss is currently our worst loss on our resume
And tied us with Mizzou in the standings.
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Originally Posted by
louisvilledawg
How much did the Ole Miss win last night hurt us?
Helped..
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Senior Member
Helped us actually.
Tonight we need Auburn, Florida* and South Carolina to win for maximum helpage.
* Florida winning would temporarily give them a lead, but they finish with Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky. Good shot at 2 losses there. Tennessee losing would put us within a game of catching them in the standings with them on our schedule. Tennessee has Georgia and Ole Miss to finish.
The higher we finish in the standings, the better our chances.
Last edited by curmudgeon; 02-21-2018 at 11:05 AM.
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Originally Posted by
Quaoarsking
Buffalo, Louisiana Lafayette, Loyola, New Mexico State, and Vermont all have RPIs that give them a chance at an at large bid. We need them to win their tournaments just in case.
Great example of why the RPI isnt as big of a factor as most think. It’s one of many
Buffalo RPI is 39. That’s solid
RPI wins versus top 50 - zero
RPI wins versus top 100 - 2
RPI wins versus top 150 -3
RPI loses to 150 or greater -2
That’s shitty.
No way they get an at large if they don’t win their conference tourney
Last edited by Ari Gold; 02-21-2018 at 11:14 AM.
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