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Final Thoughts On UGA Game
I've read and heard all the arguments this week. I've heard how talented UGA is, road game, etc, but something keeps telling me that MSU is just clicking at a level right now that we haven't seen in the Dan Mullen era. We can run it with multiple players, throw it, block it, and tackle it.
In the past 6 SEC games (About the time Fitz settled in as the starter, MSU has scored the following amount of points:
Kentucky - 38
A&M - 35
Alabama - 3 in an 11:00 game in which we would've rather been in Aleppo
Arkansas - 42
Ole Miss - 55
LSU - 37
Folks, something is up and unless Georgia runs out Bama's team or Kirby Smart finds kryptonite, I think we'll continue to click and I like all the matchups of our defense vs their offense.
I realize I may be laughed at for this prediction, but I'm going MSU - 28 UGA - 13
This happens every week. The farther along we get in the week, the more people forget the eye test and they start leaning on recruiting rankings, tradition, crowd noise, etc.
The eye test tells me MSU is clicking on all cylinders and is about to put the nation on alert tomorrow night.
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I said 24-13, so I'm pretty much with you.
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Compared to what we've been doing on offense since Fitz settled in, outside of Alabama last year, Msu would have to play it's worst offensive game in a long time to lose this one
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Originally Posted by
smootness
I said 24-13, so I'm pretty much with you.
27-17 with a couple of field goals.
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Here's our rushing stats through those same 6 SEC Games:
UK-39 Attempts 281 yards
AM-58 Attempts 365 yards
Bama-35 Attempts 94 yards
Arky-35 Attempts 205 yards
unm-47 Attempts 457 yards
LSU-48 Attempts 285 yards
That's 262 Attempts for 1687 yards. 281 yards per game and 6.4 yards a carry
If you take out the Bama game. 227 Attempts for 1593 yards. 319 yards per game at 7.0 yards per carry
I had to do the math twice to make sure I wasn't misreading it. Our Ground game has been dang near unstoppable in SEC action. Those are some serious number against SEC competition. That's a big enough sample size to say that this is a trend and not an aberration.
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Originally Posted by
Commercecomet24
Here's our rushing stats through those same 6 SEC Games:
UK-39 Attempts 281 yards
AM-58 Attempts 365 yards
Bama-35 Attempts 94 yards
Arky-35 Attempts 205 yards
unm-47 Attempts 457 yards
LSU-48 Attempts 285 yards
That's 262 Attempts for 1687 yards. 281 yards per game and 6.4 yards a carry
If you take out the Bama game. 227 Attempts for 1593 yards. 319 yards per game at 7.0 yards per carry
I had to do the math twice to make sure I wasn't misreading it. Our Ground game has been dang near unstoppable in SEC action. Those are some serious number against SEC competition. That's a big enough sample size to say that this is a trend and not an aberration.
Yup. We are past the point of teams adjusting to the film.
Something is going on. UGA is good, but I think their offense puts them in some tough spots defensively tomorrow night which leads to some easy points.
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Originally Posted by
Commercecomet24
Here's our rushing stats through those same 6 SEC Games:
UK-39 Attempts 281 yards
AM-58 Attempts 365 yards
Bama-35 Attempts 94 yards
Arky-35 Attempts 205 yards
unm-47 Attempts 457 yards
LSU-48 Attempts 285 yards
That's 262 Attempts for 1687 yards. 281 yards per game and 6.4 yards a carry
If you take out the Bama game. 227 Attempts for 1593 yards. 319 yards per game at 7.0 yards per carry
I had to do the math twice to make sure I wasn't misreading it. Our Ground game has been dang near unstoppable in SEC action. Those are some serious number against SEC competition. That's a big enough sample size to say that this is a trend and not an aberration.
You can't ignore the Bama game, though. UGA's run defense is extremely good.
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Originally Posted by
smootness
You can't ignore the Bama game, though. UGA's run defense is extremely good.
True uga has a great defense. So did LSU. Last week this time people seemed to think we wouldn't be able to run the ball against them either, but we put almost 300 on them. It's definitely going to be an interesting matchup.
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Originally Posted by
smootness
You can't ignore the Bama game, though. UGA's run defense is extremely good.
yep, and the defenses mentioned above (uk, am, ark, om) were really porous..
"It is not courage to resist TUSK; It is courage to accept TUSK."
No.
Easy there buddy. Tusk is...well Tusk is Tusk. Tireddawg 12.20.17
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Originally Posted by
Commercecomet24
Here's our rushing stats through those same 6 SEC Games:
UK-39 Attempts 281 yards
AM-58 Attempts 365 yards
Bama-35 Attempts 94 yards
Arky-35 Attempts 205 yards
unm-47 Attempts 457 yards
LSU-48 Attempts 285 yards
That's 262 Attempts for 1687 yards. 281 yards per game and 6.4 yards a carry
If you take out the Bama game. 227 Attempts for 1593 yards. 319 yards per game at 7.0 yards per carry
I had to do the math twice to make sure I wasn't misreading it. Our Ground game has been dang near unstoppable in SEC action. Those are some serious number against SEC competition. That's a big enough sample size to say that this is a trend and not an aberration.
but A&M, Arky, and UM D were all horrible last year (if i remember right and without checking any stats). KY probably pretty bad too. So LSU stands out as ab aberration, maybe. we'll find out tomorrow. i'm cautiously optimistic at this point about the offense. but i don't think it matters. i think the D is legit, and the O at least good enough that you can't keep giving them the chances that the D will grant them.
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Good write up Shotgun. My wool just keeps getting thicker. My only difference is I think we have a D who takes pride in shutting people down. With Grantham's history in Athens, plus Abram and Rivers, our D is going to be as keyed up as last week and I don't think UGA has an answer on O.
BrunswickDawg calls it 28-6 - no TD's allowed by Grantham's D.
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Well, it makes sense.
38 State
17 UGA
This is what my gut has been telling me two days now.
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Originally Posted by
TrapGame
Well, it makes sense.
38 State
17 UGA
This is what my gut has been telling me two days now.
I'm feeling the exact same score but previously I said 38-24 accounting for a late UGA score to make it look respectable.
Death penalty or bust!!!***
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Outside of the Bama game last year, we've averaged 41.4 PPG in our 5 other SEC games.
Basically, by saying we'll score 28, I'm saying that UGA will hold us to 13 points below our average.
Think about that......
Also think about this, they'll be only team taking the field tomorrow night that thinks they can score 35+ points.
Confidence is huge
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Originally Posted by
ShotgunDawg
Outside of the Bama game last year, we've averaged 41.4 PPG in our 5 other SEC games.
Basically, by saying we'll score 28, I'm saying that UGA will hold us to 13 points below our average.
Think about that......
Also think about this, they'll be only team taking the field tomorrow night that thinks they can score 35+ points.
Confidence is huge
Hell even if you include Bama, our average over that span is 35 PPG in SEC play. UGA holding us to 28 would be 7 points below that, which I think is perfectly reasonable.
So the question is can a freshman QB score 28 on Grantham? I think you are on the money here. I'll give them a bit more credit for the home field and say State 28 UGA 24.
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Originally Posted by
Dawg496
I'll give them a bit more credit for the home field and say State 28 UGA 24.
Pretty much how I see it.
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Senior Member
Originally Posted by
ShotgunDawg
Outside of the Bama game last year, we've averaged 41.4 PPG in our 5 other SEC games.
Ww
Basically, by saying we'll score 28, I'm saying that UGA will hold us to 13 points below our average.
Think about that......
What did we score in our bowl game last year? Stats can be easily manipulated.
Also think about this, they'll be only team taking the field tomorrow night that thinks they can score 35+ points.
Confidence is huge
Going to be a war in Athens tonight!
LET'S GO MSU BULLDOGS!!!!!
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Good article here by Sammon basically saying it isn't smoke and mirrors.
https://twitter.com/willsammon/statu...95558740054020
If we play sound football, don't have critical injuries, or terrible turnovers, it's lights out in Athens.
Stop looking at the logos on the helmets
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I think it boils down to how our LBs play. I feel pretty good about our DL, but in order to stop UGA the way they run the ball we must be gap disciplined from the LB position. I think they will open up trying to get Fromm a little comfortable by throwing some intermediate stuff. BTW, I love the kid. I think he has a bright future in Athens if he can stay healthy. Loved him in high school, loved how humble he is and the fact he's open with his faith in Christ too. But putting all that aside, I think Grantham will give him some crazy looks after the first 2 drives. To throw him off of his comfort zone, some mixed coverages. One thing we need to understand is that Grantham's level of football accumine is really high and he has infused some looks that are translatable from the NFL to the SEC. The kid to look for is not going to necessarily be Simmons in this game but rather Dez & Abrams. These are going to be keys to translating the calls in the field to the necessary players.
Offensively I think we need to be patient, we were last week and it payed off. Kirby is going to try to do the same to Fitz that we are to Fromm. The only difference is Fitz has seen SEC speed, Fromm has not. ND is a bowl team but they don't possess the speed the athletic ability the SEC defenses have. Be patient and eventually you'll have guys in the secondary make mental mistakes with coverages & lose eye discipline and then we'll have big plays.
I said last year I felt CDM would go to a more "Relf-fense" offensive scheme and he has. This team reminds me a lot of our 2010 team with far greater athletic talent at the skill positions. Aeris reminds me of a slower Vick Ballard. He runs SO hard and when he sees a hole he hits it with ferocity. Gibson is like Perkins was and Fitz is a faster, more athletic & more accurate Relf. I think we pull this out late in the 4th in a tough environment 27-20.
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