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Thread: Runs Created (sabermetrics) - We're Back

  1. #1
    LiL MissBitch alot sleepy dawg's Avatar
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    Runs Created (sabermetrics) - We're Back

    This is my 2nd version of this for the year. You can find the earlier version here (each one links to the previous one, including back through the years):
    http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread...-Cares-Edition
    You can also find a more in depth description of what this means in the previous one.

    A few things stand out to me... Obviously, Rooker is amazing. His numbers are far above what anyone did on last years team. After Rooker though, the rest of the team is pretty far below where our hitters finished last year... all of them.

    BABIP is good indicator of luck and/or skill when compared against other stats in a single season. That's more of an observation, than fact, but the things that stand out to me there are, Bragg has an unusally high BABIP. Given his other stats, it looks like this comes from his high strikeout ratio. It seems as if he could get better control of his Ks, he'd be much improved. In Mangum's case, however, it appears to have more to do with his talent to get hits. More of his at bats that aren't Ks or HRs go for hits than everyone elses except Rookers.



    As always, the chart is sorted by "(RC/PA)*4" as I believe this is the single best indicator of how good a batter is assuming the sample size is large enough.
    Player Name
    RC (RC/PA)*4 BABIP OPS OBP Slug AVG R RBI HR TB H HBP+BB SB CS 3B 2B AB K Sac GDP
    Brent Rooker
    58.18 1.20 0.422 1.382 0.505 0.877 0.400 37 58 16 136 62 36 16 4 3 20 155 33 3 2
    Cody Brown
    28.46 0.73 0.385 0.937 0.421 0.516 0.317 30 20 5 65 40 24 7 1 1 8 126 32 6 2
    Ryan Gridley
    33.05 0.68 0.364 0.900 0.409 0.491 0.341 30 31 5 82 57 22 7 5 1 8 167 23 5 4
    Jake Mangum
    30.48 0.64 0.401 0.840 0.411 0.429 0.347 42 16 0 73 59 19 10 6 1 12 170 24 1 2
    Hunter Stovall 12.40 0.55 0.366 0.754 0.356 0.398 0.313 15 11 0 33 26 6 1 0 1 5 83 13 2 1
    Harrison Bragg
    4.56 0.48 0.421 0.754 0.342 0.412 0.265 6 5 1 14 9 4 0 0 0 2 34 14 0 1
    Tanner Poole
    15.68 0.46 0.338 0.677 0.316 0.361 0.252 19 13 3 43 30 12 11 3 1 2 119 38 6 0
    Luke Alexander
    18.63 0.44 0.317 0.723 0.323 0.400 0.253 25 20 5 60 38 16 5 1 0 7 150 42 4 6
    Hunter Vansau
    5.26 0.40 0.387 0.635 0.346 0.289 0.267 5 6 0 13 12 6 0 1 0 1 45 15 2 0
    Elijah MacNamee 10.63 0.40 0.353 0.657 0.317 0.340 0.266 16 10 1 32 25 8 3 2 0 4 94 27 4 1
    Josh Lovelady 7.93 0.32 0.308 0.604 0.298 0.306 0.235 12 14 0 26 20 8 0 0 1 4 85 21 5 2
    Dustin Skelton
    5.51 0.30 0.304 0.560 0.306 0.254 0.222 1 10 0 16 14 8 0 0 0 2 63 18 2 1
    Brant Blaylock
    6.50 0.28 0.341 0.597 0.272 0.325 0.193 13 10 2 27 16 9 2 1 2 1 83 40 2 3
    Cole Gordon
    3.04 0.24 0.174 0.546 0.260 0.286 0.143 4 7 2 12 6 7 0 0 0 0 42 18 1 1



    What stands out to you? Devious, Todd, others?

  2. #2
    Senior Member WSOPdawg's Avatar
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    And according to this, our 5th BEST hitter is... drum roll, please..................



    BELMONT!!!! For all the sh!t he gets from the board, Luke Alexander is coming in at almost 19 runs created per game. Here's hoping he, Rooker, Magnum, Gridley and Cody Brown catch fire from now thru the end of June.

  3. #3
    Senior Member BigEasyDawg's Avatar
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    Blaylock has struck out on almost half of his at bats. Maybe he can throw pitches as well as he has been missing them.

    Btw, this is an awesome graph. Thanks for doing it!

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    Senior Member smootness's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WSOPdawg View Post
    And according to this, our 5th BEST hitter is... drum roll, please..................



    BELMONT!!!! For all the sh!t he gets from the board, Luke Alexander is coming in at almost 19 runs created per game. Here's hoping he, Rooker, Magnum, Gridley and Cody Brown catch fire from now thru the end of June.
    Goodness...how the heck are we not undefeated?!

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    Belmont's only problem is that he cannot hit SEC pitching. He's actually hit ok in the OOC

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    LiL MissBitch alot sleepy dawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WSOPdawg View Post
    And according to this, our 5th BEST hitter is... drum roll, please..................



    BELMONT!!!! For all the sh!t he gets from the board, Luke Alexander is coming in at almost 19 runs created per game. Here's hoping he, Rooker, Magnum, Gridley and Cody Brown catch fire from now thru the end of June.
    You're reading it wrong. RC is a total, so it naturally goes up the more you play. The column next to it is an average and is a better indicator of runs contributed per game, in which case he'd be our 8th best hitter.

  7. #7
    Senior Member WSOPdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sleepy dawg View Post
    You're reading it wrong. RC is a total, so it naturally goes up the more you play. The column next to it is an average and is a better indicator of runs contributed per game, in which case he'd be our 8th best hitter.
    That makes more sense as Alexander is responsible for 18.62 Runs Created TOTAL on the season basically because he's only now started receiving bench time for not performing. In other words, 9 Belmonts in a lineup would be expected to yield ~3.96 runs per game while 9 Rookers in a lineup would yield ~10.8 runs per game.

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    Senior Member Todd4State's Avatar
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    Great work! I enjoyed looking at it. What stands out to me even though it's not surprising is just how dominant Rooker is. Sometimes stats give us an even better picture of that sometimes.

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