My RPI workbook says we probably need to be 19-11 to host. We could get there at 18-12 if some other "hosting bubble" teams falter and drop below us.

Also, I'm working on the assumption that the committee very closely aligns the hosts to the top 16 RPI teams with maybe just 1 or 2 deviations to other teams in the teens, but the committee isn't always consistent from year to year, so it's all pretty uncertain.