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By my calculation, we need to be around 20-10 to even get our RPI into the 20s. (This is really hard to predict because every game in the country can affect our resume, and other teams could rise or fall around us too). The hosting dream is dead.
Our best bet is to finish like 18-12 and an RPI in the high 30s, and one of the top national seeds is going to be pissed to draw us as the 2 in their regional. And I would like our chances to win it.
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