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Originally Posted by
maroonmania
With our OOC losses and RPI I don't even feel real comfortable at 14-16. I think ww need to be at least 15-15 to feel at ease about making the post-season.
I may not feel comfortable at 14-16 but I think our chances of getting in would be better than 50 percent especially if we win the rest of our non conference games.
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Originally Posted by
State82
I may not feel comfortable at 14-16 but I think our chances of getting in would be better than 50 percent especially if we win the rest of our non conference games.
Anything 14 wins and above will get us in based on the sec this year.
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Originally Posted by
Commercecomet24
Anything 14 wins and above will get us in based on the sec this year.
Yup. I see us getting to 16 and on the hosting bubble
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Originally Posted by
preachermatt83
Yup. I see us getting to 16 and on the hosting bubble
I'm cautiously optimistic. If we can start closing games out(like last night), I think we can make a good run.
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Originally Posted by
Commercecomet24
I'm cautiously optimistic. If we can start closing games out(like last night), I think we can make a good run.
We need Davis to get his confidence back in a big way.
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Originally Posted by
msstate7
We need Davis to get his confidence back in a big way.
Yeah we need him bad. We need to the leftys to perform.
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Unlikely we host at 17-13.
Remember 2014, when we went 18-12 and didn't host with an RPI in the mid-20s. I doubt our RPI is any better this year at 17-13 or 18-12.
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Originally Posted by
Quaoarsking
Unlikely we host at 17-13.
Remember 2014, when we went 18-12 and didn't host with an RPI in the mid-20s. I doubt our RPI is any better this year at 17-13 or 18-12.
If we go 17-13, our rpi would be much higher than it is today.
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Originally Posted by
msstate7
If we go 17-13, our rpi would be much higher than it is today.
Doubt it. WN currently "projects" us as 14-16 and RPI of 52. 3 more wins may get us into the high 30s, but I doubt it would get us into the top 20 or so necessarily to host.
Note: I don't put a lot of stock into what WN projects, but I do think it does a pretty good job of correlating record and RPI. So if we end up 14-16 I would expect an RPI around 50, and barely making a Regional if we do at all.
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Originally Posted by
Quaoarsking
Doubt it. WN currently "projects" us as 14-16 and RPI of 52. 3 more wins may get us into the high 30s, but I doubt it would get us into the top 20 or so necessarily to host.
Note: I don't put a lot of stock into what WN projects, but I do think it does a pretty good job of correlating record and RPI. So if we end up 14-16 I would expect an RPI around 50, and barely making a Regional if we do at all.
How many teams have made the tournament with an RPI of 50+ these past few years? I thought high 40s was the end of where you have a chance but I've ever looked into it.
We've played good enough to where 15-15 is obviously possible, but it would sure be nice if 14-16 was good enough...
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If we win 17 in the current sec, we will host
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Originally Posted by
preachermatt83
If we win 17 in the current sec, we will host
LSU went 17-13 in 2022 and didn't host. And their RPI was in the top 20.
ETA: Also, Arkansas went 18-12 and didn't host, also with a top 20 RPI.
Last edited by Quaoarsking; 04-06-2024 at 07:21 PM.
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Originally Posted by
maroonmania
With our OOC losses and RPI I don't even feel real comfortable at 14-16. I think ww need to be at least 15-15 to feel at ease about making the post-season.
For sure 15-15 would be best but at 14-16 with the way the sec is this year that likely puts in the top half of the sec and I just don't see anyway they leave a top 7 sec team at home.
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