After the next 2 series we will be a borderline 1 seed unless we choke them away. We arent struggling to make the Tourney
Printable View
In this era most regionals are at least two mid majors and then one other ACC, old PAC 12, or Big 12 team. Sure there are exceptions like 2018 when it was MSU, Florida State, and Oklahoma in a regional but unless you're in THAT one my example is what you're looking at in general.
In other words regionals are a lot of times easier than what we face on a typical SEC weekend.
So yeah- if we have a 40 win season and then get knocked out in a regional it's a major disappointment. Or 35 wins.
The ONLY way I would ever somewhat excuse a regional knockout is if we were to win the SEC or the SEC Championship.
Our RPI probably needs to be 16 or higher because recently that's how the committee has been assigning them. We have work to do. Closer to time we'll see if there are any weird outliers but losing to Central Arkansas really hurt us badly. We have zero margin for error as far as hosting.
I'm guessing our most likely path is to sweep Ole Miss, Auburn, and Mizzou which would put us at 15, beat Alabama 2/3, and win a game against Vandy. And don't lose to UAB, Alcorn (Lemonis should be fired for that), Memphis, and the Governor's Cup. I'm assuming we won't play North Alabama. Then we have Arkansas who will be tough on the road.
That's going to be really difficult especially for our team which seems to make gross mistakes at times and has a major incident with SEC officials every other week. And we can't figure out who our closer is.